




Independent candidate for U.S. House in Alaska
Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Bill Hill is trading at 17% to win the Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person) on prediction markets.
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleCommercial fisherman
PartyIndependent
Political ideologyProgressive Independent
LocationAlaska
BackgroundCommercial fisherman
EducationUniversity of Alaska Anchorage (secondary education alumnus)
Notable personal detailsBill Hill is an independent candidate for Alaska’s at-large U.S. House seat in the 2026 election cycle. He has worked as a commercial fisherman and spent more than 25 years as an educator, including as superintendent of the Bristol Bay Borough School District, and was named Alaska Superintendent of the Year for 2023. Hill is Dena’ina Athabascan and is from the Bristol Bay region; he has described growing up in Kokhanok on Iliamna Lake and later living in Bristol Bay with his wife, Diane.
The candidate supports measures to make billionaires and large corporations pay more and to end tax handouts to wealthy individuals and big companies while lowering costs for working families. He advocates investing in Alaskan jobs and schools and combating corruption perceived to benefit wealthy interests.
Supports lowering healthcare costs by extending Affordable Care Act tax credits and lowering premiums; favors keeping healthcare affordable while protecting individual healthcare decision-making. Emphasizes using federal policy to reduce premiums and expand affordability for Alaskans.
Supports stronger border security as part of efforts to stop the flow of fentanyl into the United States and emphasizes a "strong, secure border." No detailed policy proposals on asylum, deportation, or pathways to legal status are provided on campaign materials reviewed.
Supports an "all of the above" energy approach that seeks to lower Alaskans' energy and heating costs by both maximizing oil and natural gas production and restoring tax credits for renewable projects. Policy language emphasizes bringing energy projects and jobs to Alaska rather than endorsing aggressive emissions limits or explicit climate-target legislation.
Supports protecting gun rights and opposes government overreach into Alaskans' way of life, listing gun rights alongside subsistence rights in campaign materials.
Bill Hill is running as an independent in Alaska’s at-large U.S. House race, where he is one of the main challengers to Republican incumbent Nick Begich after Democrat Matt Schultz ended his campaign. The race has also featured Hill in candidate forums on issues like climate change, healthcare, resource development, and AI data centers. Recent coverage says Begich still has a fundraising edge, while Hill has picked up some public support, including an endorsement in an opinion piece.
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Bill Hill currently averages 35.0%, ranking second in this race, 12.9 points behind the next candidate.
Average recalculated from polls through Aug 20 - 23.




Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
2026
LatestCycle 2026
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.