Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
39.8%
49.0%
Saved Kalshi settlement results
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Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
Alaska House winner?
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Independent
Bill Hill
Independent candidate for U.S. House in Alaska
$143.1K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Saved odds
Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Bill Hill is trading at 21% to win the Alaska House winner? on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleCommercial fisherman
PartyIndependent
Political ideologyProgressive Independent
LocationAlaska
BackgroundCommercial fisherman
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EducationUniversity of Alaska Anchorage (secondary education alumnus)
Notable personal detailsBill Hill is an independent candidate for Alaska’s at-large U.S. House seat in the 2026 election cycle. He has worked as a commercial fisherman and spent more than 25 years as an educator, including as superintendent of the Bristol Bay Borough School District, and was named Alaska Superintendent of the Year for 2023. Hill is Dena’ina Athabascan and is from the Bristol Bay region; he has described growing up in Kokhanok on Iliamna Lake and later living in Bristol Bay with his wife, Diane.
SourcesShowHide
billhillforalaskans.comfec.govuaa.alaska.edualaskapublic.orglinktr.eeelections.alaska.govakleg.govthecandidate.comsecure.actblue.comaws.state.ak.usthealaskastory.comacjc.alaska.govreddit.comalaskasnewssource.comalaskabeacon.comkdlg.orgen.wikipedia.orgsignalhire.comart.state.govwibcahalloffame.comespn.comcoloradomotorsportshalloffame.comadn.comktoo.orgmarinelink.comthegreenpapers.comyahoo.comafge.orgwashingtonpost.comreproductivefreedomforall.orgendcitizensunited.orgivoterguide.comfacebook.cominstagram.comchadronradio.comkrbd.orgthehill.comknom.orgivn.usknba.orgrollcall.comlocalcandidates.orgdocquery.fec.govballotready.orglegislation.ballotpedia.orgjustfacts.votesmart.orgcongress.govcdn.ballotpedia.orgarmedservices.house.govgovinfo.gov
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
The candidate supports measures to make billionaires and large corporations pay more and to end tax handouts to wealthy individuals and big companies while lowering costs for working families. He advocates investing in Alaskan jobs and schools and combating corruption perceived to benefit wealthy interests.
Healthcare
Supports lowering healthcare costs by extending Affordable Care Act tax credits and lowering premiums; favors keeping healthcare affordable while protecting individual healthcare decision-making. Emphasizes using federal policy to reduce premiums and expand affordability for Alaskans.
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Immigration & Border
Supports stronger border security as part of efforts to stop the flow of fentanyl into the United States and emphasizes a "strong, secure border." No detailed policy proposals on asylum, deportation, or pathways to legal status are provided on campaign materials reviewed.
Climate & Energy
Supports an "all of the above" energy approach that seeks to lower Alaskans' energy and heating costs by both maximizing oil and natural gas production and restoring tax credits for renewable projects. Policy language emphasizes bringing energy projects and jobs to Alaska rather than endorsing aggressive emissions limits or explicit climate-target legislation.
Public Safety & Guns
Supports protecting gun rights and opposes government overreach into Alaskans' way of life, listing gun rights alongside subsistence rights in campaign materials.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026
Bill Hill is running as an independent in Alaska’s at-large U.S. House race, where he is one of the main challengers to Republican incumbent Nick Begich after Democrat Matt Schultz ended his campaign. The race has also featured Hill in candidate forums on issues like climate change, healthcare, resource development, and AI data centers. Recent coverage says Begich still has a fundraising edge, while Hill has picked up some public support, including an endorsement in an opinion piece.
billhillforalaskans.com+49
Articles
ADAnchorage Daily News5 months ago
Opinion: Alaska’s problems require independent thinking
Positive
ADAnchorage Daily News6 months ago
Independent, Democrat challenging US Rep. Begich meet at Anchorage forum
Neutral
ADAnchorage Daily News4 months ago
Democrat Matt Schultz drops out of Alaska’s U.S. House race
Neutral
ADAnchorage Daily News7 months ago
Peltola posts massive campaign fundraising, but Republicans maintain cash advantage in Alaska congressional races
Negative
Latest Polls
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Bill Hill currently averages 39.8%, ranking second in this race, 9.3 points behind the next candidate.
Polling average: 39.8%Position: secondMargin: -9.3 ptsLatest poll: 46.6% (Oct 28 - Nov 1)Polls included: 32
Average recalculated from polls through Oct 28 - Nov 1.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$1.3M
$1.0M
$668.1K
$334.1K
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$1.3M
$515.9K
$820.4K
$43.2K
Source: FEC
Not available in this saved edition
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- Endorsements