South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: 1st place (1st round)
14hDarline Graham is running in the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary for 1st place in the 1st round, and Donald Trump backed her.

South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: 1st place (1st round)
Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Darline Graham is trading at 61% to win the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: 1st place (1st round) on prediction markets.
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Senator
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
Age62 years old (Jun 12, 1964)
GenderFemale
LocationSouth Carolina
BackgroundU.S. Senator
EducationCollege of Charleston — B.S., Sociology (1989)
Notable personal detailsDarline Graham is a Republican U.S. Senator from South Carolina, appointed on 2026-07-13 to fill the vacancy caused by the death of Sen. Lindsey O. Graham. She previously worked as a vocational rehabilitation counselor and served as commissioner of the South Carolina Commission for the Blind. She earned a B.S. in sociology from the College of Charleston and an M.A. in rehabilitation counseling from South Carolina State University.
Darline Graham’s public campaign messaging emphasizes conservative values and being fiercely protective of taxpayer dollars. Her documented platform does not lay out detailed tax changes, but the available evidence points to a fiscally conservative posture rather than support for higher taxes or expanded spending.
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
Darline Graham is running in the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary for 1st place in the 1st round, and Donald Trump backed her.
Darline Graham has been appointed to fill the rest of her late brother Lindsey Graham’s Senate term and is now running for a full term in South Carolina’s special Republican primary. She has Trump’s endorsement and is campaigning as a conservative aligned with his agenda. The race is crowded, with Ralph Norman and Russell Fry among the main rivals, and recent polling and straw polls show a tight contest ahead of the August 11 vote. Party debates and early voting are underway as Republicans try to settle the nomination.
Endorsers of Darline Graham for South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: 1st place (1st round)
Public figure
Donald Trump endorsed Darline Graham for a full Senate term in South Carolina.
Advocacy group
Republican Jewish Coalition endorsed Darline Graham for the U.S. Senate special election.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.