Prediction Edge

Overview

Current roleFormer U.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age53 years old (Oct 31, 1972)

GenderMale

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LocationFlorida

BackgroundAttorney

EducationEmory University (B.A., 1994)

Notable personal detailsDavid Wilson Jolly is an American attorney and former member of the U.S. House of Representatives, representing Florida's 13th congressional district from 2014 to 2017. He is a former staffer to U.S. Rep. C. W. Bill Young and later worked as an attorney and lobbyist, and has been a political commentator on MSNBC. In 2025 he registered as a Democrat and launched a campaign for Governor of Florida in the 2026 election cycle.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate supports targeted revenue increases (taxing insurance-company profits, revising tourist development taxes, and implementing combined reporting) to fund a state catastrophic insurance fund, education, and affordability measures while opposing unconditional repeal of property taxes without revenue replacement. He has also said he favors some lower corporate taxes in general but emphasizes raising revenue from specific sectors to address Florida’s affordability and insurance crises.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to care through government programs and the ACA; backs using state resources to address healthcare deserts and preserve ACA subsidies and Medicaid expansion rather than market-only approaches.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate supports valuing and investing in immigrant communities, favors streamlined pathways to legal status and more open access for people seeking to contribute to the economy, and opposes conflating immigration with crime. He has said he would not require enforcement of 287(g) ICE agreements at the state level and suggested suspending such agreements pending review of due process protections.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports codifying the Roe–Casey standard into law and has said he would introduce legislation to protect abortion rights at the state level. He states abortion should be allowed until fetal viability with medical exceptions and favors keeping politicians and laws out of the doctor’s office, while endorsing parental involvement for minors with exceptions in abuse cases.

Climate & Energy

Supports the reality of human-caused climate change, favors investments in renewable and clean energy and climate resiliency, and endorses using incentives and federal funds to address disaster risk and coastal/ water issues. Emphasizes accepting climate science and expanding clean-energy and resilience measures while not explicitly endorsing Green New Deal–style fossil-fuel phaseouts in the cited materials.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate supports an assault-weapons ban, universal and more comprehensive background checks (including private and intra-family transfers), licensing/registration and liability insurance for gun owners, storage requirements, and expansion/preservation of red-flag laws.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 6, 2026

David Jolly is in the news because he is now the most prominent remaining Democrat in Florida’s governor race after Jerry Demings dropped out. Recent polling has been mixed: one poll showed Jolly tied with Byron Donalds, while others had Donalds ahead, though the race still appears competitive with many undecided voters. Overall, Jolly is trying to position himself as the Democratic challenger in a race Republicans are still favored to win.

history.house.gov+35

Polls

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?
Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
22.2%
41%
23.5%
20.2%
9%
5%
David Jolly
D. Jolly
Jason Pizzo
J. Pizzo
Daniella Levine Cava
D. Cava
Jerry Demings
J. Demings
Gwen Graham
G. Graham
Angie Nixon
A. Nixon
Fentrice Driskell
F. Driskell
Shevrin Jones
S. Jones
Date (Start - End)SpreadJollyPizzoCavaDemingsGrahamNixonDriskellJones
Polling Average
Pizzo+18.8
22.2%41.0%23.5%20.2%9.0%5.0%4.0%3.0%
Change ResearchMay 13 - 16
Jolly+15.0
42.0%27.0%
Emerson CollegeMar 29 - 31
Jolly+10.6
20.7%10.1%
Targoz Market ResearchFeb 13 - 16
Jolly+8.0
31.0%23.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyJan 8 - 13
Jolly+4.0
23.0%19.0%
Public Policy PollingDec 2 - 3
Jolly+0.0
22.0%22.0%
Targoz Market ResearchMay 5 - 7
Cava+22.0
10.0%32.0%13.0%6.0%7.0%4.0%
Targoz Market ResearchApr 15 - 22
Pizzo+34.0
7.0%41.0%15.0%5.0%4.0%1.0%2.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising