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2026 Florida Governor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Florida Governor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Election Day: Nov 3, 2026Market closes: Nov 6, 11:59pm ET (Nov 7, 4:59am UTC)Last updated: Aug 7, 2026, 11:53 AM UTC

Florida Governor winner?

$188.0K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

R. Party

81.0%

D. Party

21.0%

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OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 7, 2026, 11:53 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$188.0K

24h volume

$3.1K

R. Party81%

D. Party21%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

August

TUE 18

Florida 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Florida 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Ron DeSantis is term-limited, so Florida will have an open governor’s race in 2026. Byron Donalds is leading the Republican field in early fundraising and polling, while DeSantis has not endorsed anyone yet. Florida has also set its 2026 election calendar, with the general election on November 3. The latest news keeps the race focused on the Republican nomination, where Donalds appears to have an early edge. DeSantis’s lack of an endorsement leaves some uncertainty, but the overall setup still looks favorable for Republicans.

Articles

TTCPalm1 day ago

What are key voter issues in Florida governor's race?

Facing an enormous cash deficit, can Democrat Jolly ride the anti-incumbent, anti-Trump wave by appealing to voters on the affordability issue.

NDNaples Daily News1 day ago

Florida governor campaigns rely on TV ads but digital catching up

Most campaigns today have a presence on platforms such as YouTube, Google, Facebook, X, TikTok and Instagram.

NDNaples Daily News4 days ago

From the governor's race to crocodiles and jet skis

Florida TODAY statewide newsletter delivers a mix of news, culture and classic "only in Florida" moments

NNews-Press7 days ago

Donalds wraps himself in Trump endorsement on way to Aug. 18 primary

Four prominent Republicans are vying for the party's nomination for governor. But only one, Byron Donalds, has President Trump's endorsement.

TTCPalm1 month ago

Ahead in polls and money, what could stop Byron Donalds?

Can anything stop Byron Donalds? Far ahead in fund-raising and polling, the Republican congressman is well on his way to winning his party’s August nomination for governor.

NNNBC News2 months ago

Live updates: Candidates advance to midterm battles in California, Iowa, N.J. and 3 other states

Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.

Latest Polls

Polling results and averages based on polls published between May 13, 2026 and Jul 26, 2026.

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

43%

42%

41.3%

38.6%

J. Demings

J. Collins

B. Donalds

D. Jolly

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Demings	Collins	Donalds	Jolly
Polling Average	Demings+1.0	43.0%	42.0%	41.3%	38.6%
Targoz Market ResearchJul 20 - 26	Collins+5.0	–	44.0%	–	39.0%
Targoz Market ResearchJul 20 - 26	Collins+3.0	–	40.0%	–	37.0%
Targoz Market ResearchJul 20 - 26	Donalds+7.0	–	–	45.0%	38.0%
Targoz Market ResearchJul 20 - 26	Donalds+4.0	–	–	40.0%	36.0%
University of North Florida Public Opinion Research LabJul 8 - 17	Donalds+5.0	–	–	46.0%	41.0%
Change ResearchJul 9 - 11	Donalds+0.0	–	–	37.0%	37.0%
Change ResearchJul 9 - 11	Jolly+1.0	–	–	40.0%	41.0%
Kaplan StrategiesJun 8 - 9	Donalds+5.1	–	–	34.9%	29.8%
Change ResearchMay 13 - 16	Demings+4.0	46.0%	–	42.0%	–
Change ResearchMay 13 - 16	Donalds+2.0	–	–	43.0%	41.0%
Change ResearchMay 13 - 16	Jolly+4.0	–	–	42.0%	46.0%
Change ResearchMay 13 - 16	Donalds+3.0	40.0%	–	43.0%	–