State Lean
Lean Republican
Battleground watch
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 Florida Governor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
Florida Governor winner?
$16.9M
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68% | 44.9% | $738.1K | |
| 33% | 41.6% | — |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$16.9M
24h volume
$6.7M
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Florida · Governor
Lean RepublicanOpen seatBattleground watch
Primary System
Party primary or state-specific
No primary runoff
Election Rules
Primary Aug 18, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Early voting
Early voting must begin at least 10 days before Election Day and may not end earlier than the third day before Election Day; county schedules vary.
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · National Governors Association, Gubernatorial Elections · NCSL · Vote.org · Manual editorial review
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Race Updates
Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.
Florida Governor winner?
9hDavid Jolly’s Democratic win price rose to 37% while Byron Donalds slipped to 63%, and fresh Election Day reporting says the race is down to a close final stretch in Florida.
63%10%
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
A new poll shows David Jolly narrowly ahead of Byron Donalds in the Florida governor race. That follows earlier coverage that had Republicans favored and Donalds as the GOP nominee. Overall, the race still looks competitive and polling has been mixed. The latest poll is a modest boost for Jolly and a warning sign for Donalds, but the race still looks close. Mixed polling keeps uncertainty high and limits any clear shift in the market.
Articles
SSlate2 days ago
This Wasn’t Supposed to Be Senate Democrats’ Year. Here’s What Changed.
The party is in the midst of a remarkable comeback—mostly thanks to one man.
UTUSA TODAY1 day ago
What early voting data tell us about the 2026 midterm elections
Approximately 54 million Americans have offered a glimpse into the midterm election, which is seeing an uptick in younger and racially diverse voters.
TVThe Verge1 day ago
Could data center backlash flip Florida?
David Jolly, Florida’s Democratic nominee for governor is counting on data centers to break the GOP’s decades-long hold on the state.
FNFox News2 days ago
Control of Congress hangs in balance across 9 midterm battlegrounds
Control of Congress hangs in the balance as midterm election voters in nine battleground states decide key Senate, House and governor races during Donald Trump's second term.
TIThe Independent Florida Alligator4 days ago
The Alligator’s governor voter guide
For the first time in eight years, Gov. Ron DeSantis is not on the ballot for governor. Now, the big question is who will replace him, with a tight race less than a week before election day. Here is where each candidate stands on the issues.
NNewsBreak1 day ago
Midterm elections live updates: Trump says he'll become 'Mr. Veto' if Dems gain control of Congress
President Donald Trump is scheduled to appear at the Reflecting Pool on Monday. The high-stakes midterm elections are a day away, and candidates are making
CCNBC13 hours ago
5 things to watch on Election Day as Democrats push to control Congress
Voters head to the polls Tuesday to decide control of Congress in an election that will define the last two years of Donald Trump's presidency.
TWThe Washington Post3 days ago
Democratic official says she won’t vote for Iowa Senate candidate over trans ad
Iowa Democratic Senate candidate Josh Turek faces criticism after ad opposing "taxpayers paying for sex changes."
ESEUROPE SAYS4 days ago
Donalds, Trump rally in Daytona; Jolly in Villages, St. Pete
FLORIDA — As the campaigns for Florida governor continue to try to build support ahead of Election Day on Tuesday, Republican Byron Donalds was expected to
TMThe Mercury News4 days ago
For under-50 Senate hopefuls, age isn’t just a number
“Young” is a relative term in the Senate.
Latest Polls
Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
44.9%
41.6%
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jun 30, 2026$1M
$750K
$500K
$250K
$0
B. Donalds
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
B. DonaldsByron Donalds$738.1KContrib: $590.3K
$334.5KSpent: $2.14M
$119.1KLast period: $2.2K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
Source: FEC
Related Races
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
Florida Governor winner?
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Florida
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 2:17 AM UTC
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Florida
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 2:17 AM UTC