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Who will win the 2028 US Presidential Election Democratic Primary?

Nov 7, 2028, 3:00pm UTC, in 875 daysLast updated: Jun 16, 2026, 4:53 PM UTC

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

$127.5M

NOV 7, 2028

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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Discovery Insights Elections Candidates Calendar Watchlist

Search elections and candidates

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$127.5M

24h volume

$903.5K

G. Newsom23%

A. Ocasio-Cortez11%

J. Ossoff11%

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source: Kalshi

Latest Insights

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

18h

Gavin Newsom’s 2028 nominee odds moved up to 24% after fresh reporting that he says the Trump DOJ is investigating him and his wife, adding a concrete new catalyst to an already active market.

24%3%

News

AINews Summary

Early polling shows Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom ahead in the 2028 Democratic field. Rahm Emanuel is also signaling possible interest, while Ro Khanna’s Maine endorsement is being watched for its effect on his future prospects. JD Vance’s book is adding speculation on the Republican side, but it does not directly move this market. The polling reinforces Harris and Newsom as early frontrunners, while Emanuel and Khanna-related coverage adds some uncertainty about the wider field. Vance speculation is more relevant to the broader presidential landscape than this Democratic market.

Articles

NYNew York Post15 hours ago

Poll on Gavin Newsom, Kamala Harris should raise alarm

Californians might ask themselves: If Kamala Harris, a train-wreck presidential candidate, and Gavin Newsom, a failed governor, are the best this state can offer, then what exactly are we doing here?

HCHartford Courant1 day ago

JD Vance writes of journey to Catholicism in 'Communion'

Vice President JD Vance writes about his religious journey in a new book, "Communion: Finding My Way Back to Faith," out Tuesday.

WEWashington Examiner5 days ago

Ro Khanna says Graham Platner endorsement won't hurt him in 2028

Rep. Ro Khanna (D-CA) is one of several Democrats rumored to be laying the groundwork for a 2028 presidential campaign.

SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat2 days ago

Skelton: When good fortune strikes, Becerra capitalizes

The secret to Xavier Becerra's success is being in the right spot at the right time.

TBThe Boston Globe24 hours ago

JD Vance writes of journey to Catholicism since best

Vance has been working on his new book over a tumultuous decade that included a Hollywood movie about his youth, a short stint as a US senator, and now vice president.

LALos Angeles Times6 days ago

Why Tom Steyer’s $216-million gubernatorial bid failed

Despite spending a record-shattering amount of his wealth on his run for governor, Steyer failed to win enough votes in last week’s primary to advance to the November general election.

SSFGATE7 days ago

Tuesday takeaways: Platner's big night, Clyburn carries on and Trump's support gets mixed results

Nevada, South Carolina and North Dakota hosted primary elections Tuesday, but much of the political world was focused on Maine’s high-stakes U.S. Senate contest. The results were never in question....

WEWashington Examiner3 days ago

Rahm Emanuel tests policy over Trump hatred

The former White House chief of staff's New Hampshire bike trip aimed to announce and promote an array of policy positions, not just spew anti-Trump hate.

TMThe Mercury News13 days ago

Karen Bass, Spencer Pratt appear headed for Los Angeles mayoral runoff

The Associated Press projected Bass would advance to a November runoff. As of 10:50 p.m., Pratt maintained an 8 percentage points lead over Raman in the race for the second runoff spot.