$217.8M
NOV 7, 2028Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 15, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC.
Total volume
$217.8M
24h volume
$812.3K
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
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Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Newsom said he would sit out the 2028 Democratic race if Harris runs, which could reduce one major source of competition. The reporting also says Harris is currently leading early polling in a prospective field that includes Buttigieg and Ocasio-Cortez. Newsom’s conditional exit could narrow the field and slightly strengthen Harris if she runs. Overall, the market still looks early and uncertain because no official nomination decisions have been made.
"I won't run if she runs," the California governor told CNN's Jake Tapper.
While fly fishing in Montana, CNN’s Jake Tapper asks Governor Gavin Newsom what it would take for him to run for president in 2028. This is part of on an o
Bailey — who's in a tight spot as he appeals to moderate suburban voters — said he appreciated Trump's nod, "but that's not what this race is about."
Welcome to From the Politics Desk, a daily newsletter that brings you the NBC News Politics team’s latest reporting and analysis from the White House, Capitol Hill and the campaign trail.
DALLAS — Republicans descended on Dallas this week with the ostensible aim of helping their candidates win midterm elections in a difficult political environment. But for Vice President JD Vance, the moment offered a plum personal opportunity for an ambitious second-in-command. As he took the stage on Thursday night to deliver his keynote address, Vance […]
In what is seen as a major blow for President Donald Trump, the court, in a 7-2 ruling, left intact existing election procedures that affect millions of voters.
Rhode Island voters will go to the polls on Wednesday with Gov. Daniel McKee facing a primary challenge from Helena Foulkes, with the latest Emerson College
President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance used the GOP midterm convention in Dallas to paint contrasts with Democrats and energize supporters ahead of the midterm elections.
Brooks, a Democrat, has garnered support across the party's ideological spectrum, including Gov. Josh Shapiro and U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
