$240.0M
NOV 7, 2028Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 16, 2026, 10:28 AM UTC.
Total volume
$240.0M
24h volume
$786.6K
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
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Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Newsom said he would sit out the 2028 Democratic race if Harris runs, which could reduce one major source of competition. The reporting also says Harris is currently leading early polling in a prospective field that includes Buttigieg and Ocasio-Cortez. Newsom’s conditional exit could narrow the field and slightly strengthen Harris if she runs. Overall, the market still looks early and uncertain because no official nomination decisions have been made.
Several hundred supporters lined up outside LevelUp Training Complex in Monroe to hear Vice President JD Vance’s in-person message to Michigan voters before the midterms.
The two 10th District candidates repeatedly traded insults and accusations during their TV debate ahead of their Nov. 3 rematch.
Party leaders don’t want complacency after what’s likely to be a midterm victory.
Away from TV lights and gotcha questions, Stacy Garrity and Janelle Stelson showed voters sides of themselves that may surprise — and matter — on Election Day.
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The events could offer clues about which political messages resonate.
The data center issue has dominated the competitive governor’s race in Nevada, where 80% of the land is owned by the federal government.
The Social Security Administration is expected to announce the cost-of-living adjustment for 2027 on Wednesday. The benefit increase may be higher than ave
Republican Rep. Ryan Mackenzie is banking on voters' trust and highlighting his opponent's past to help him keep his seat, but Trump and policy issues still loom large.
'Election of any – or all – of them could create problems in 2028.'
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
