Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
50.9%
12.8%
8.4%
Republican
Elise Stefanik
Republican candidate for Presidential in New York
2028 Republican presidential nominee
$63.8M
NOV 7, 2028Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Elise Stefanik is trading at 0% to win the 2028 Republican presidential nominee on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Representative
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican
Age42 years old (Jul 2, 1984)
GenderFemale
Show moreShow less
LocationNew York
BackgroundPolitician
EducationHarvard University (BA)
Notable personal detailsElise Marie Stefanik is a Republican politician who has represented New York’s 21st Congressional District in the U.S. House of Representatives since 2015. She served as chair of the House Republican Conference from 2021 to 2025 and has served on the House Armed Services Committee and other key committees. Stefanik is a Harvard University graduate and previously worked in Republican politics and government roles before running for Congress. She is married to Matthew Manda and they have one child.
SourcesShowHide
stefanik.house.goven.wikipedia.orgwikidata.orgbritannica.comapnews.comnypost.comtime.comwashingtonpost.comtimesunion.comthedialog.orgchristianpost.comnorthcountrypublicradio.orgdailycallernewsfoundation.orgeliseforcongress.comnytimes.comny1.comspectrumlocalnews.comcbs6albany.compolitico.comcbsnews.comabcnews.comwcax.comthehill.comauburnpub.comrollcall.comweny.comm.economictimes.comwibx950.comwashingtonexaminer.comnews.meaww.comfacebook.comballotpedia.orghistory.house.govcongress.govbioguideretro.congress.govgovinfo.govsenate.govclerk.house.govfec.govdisclosures-clerk.house.govziplook.house.gov
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports pro-growth tax cuts and targeted tax relief for families and New Yorkers, and has voted for/endorsed Republican tax-cut legislation that reduces taxes and expands certain credits. Has advocated for reducing regulations and cutting wasteful spending as part of broader economic policy. Has also supported expanding the SALT deduction cap to provide relief to taxpayers in high-tax states.
Healthcare
Supports market-oriented reforms to lower costs and expand access (including allowing interstate insurance sales and tort reform), emphasizes strengthening rural hospitals and community health centers, and has opposed COVID-19 vaccine mandates for healthcare workers. Focuses on expanding provider capacity and targeted federal funding rather than large-scale public coverage expansions like Medicare for All.
Show moreShow less
Immigration & Border
Elise Stefanik emphasizes stronger border security and enforcement, supporting measures such as restarting construction of the border wall, ending “catch and release,” increasing personnel and resources at ports of entry, and passage of the House Republican Secure the Border Act. She frames current federal policy as an ‘‘open border’’ crisis and prioritizes tighter controls at both the Southern and Northern borders.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
Supports restrictions on abortion including a federal minimum of a 15-week ban with exceptions for rape, incest, and to protect the life of the mother; opposes taxpayer funding for elective abortions and has supported pro-life legislation and related votes.
Climate & Energy
Supports an all-of-the-above energy approach emphasizing expanded domestic fossil-fuel production, energy independence, and opposition to aggressive federal emissions regulations; promotes rolling back EPA and administration climate rules and prioritizes lowering energy costs. Positions accept market-driven or transitional measures rather than Green New Deal–style phaseouts of fossil fuels.
Public Safety & Guns
Supports broad Second Amendment protections and opposes new federal and state firearm restrictions. Sponsors and promotes legislation to block state-level gun limits, backs concealed-carry reciprocity and legal challenges to restrictive state laws, and opposes ATF rules she views as infringing on gun owners’ rights.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 19, 2026
Elise Stefanik is drawing attention because her House seat in New York’s 21st district is expected to be open in the next election, and Republicans are already lining up to run for it. She is also being discussed as a possible future statewide candidate, with Gov. Kathy Hochul saying Stefanik would have been a tougher opponent in the 2026 governor’s race. Recent coverage says Stefanik’s own next move remains unclear after she stepped back from a prior governor bid and her broader political prospects have stalled.
stefanik.house.gov+40
Articles
BBenzinga4 months ago
Elise Stefanik Eyes Next Move As Congressional Tenure Nears End
Neutral
SSlate5 months ago
Elise Stefanik has a new book on campus antisemitism. It’s missing something big.
Negative
FNFox News2 months ago
Hochul says Stefanik would have been tougher than Blakeman in 2026
Positive
NYNew York Post23 days ago
NY CEO who 'lost millions' backing Trump is running for Congress
Neutral
Latest Polls
New York Republican Governor nominee?
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Elise Stefanik currently averages 50.9%, ranking first in this race, 38.1 points ahead of the nearest opponent.
Polling average: 50.9%Position: firstMargin: +38.1 ptsLatest poll: 48.0% (Dec 8 - 12)Polls included: 7
Average recalculated from polls through Dec 8 - 12.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$15.5M
$11.6M
$7.7M
$3.9M
$0
2024
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2024
$15.5M
$8.7M
$7.6M
$318.2K
Cycle 2026
$5.0M
$10.8M
$2.9M
$162.3K
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
- Endorsements