$1.5M
NOV 7, 2028Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 15, 2026, 5:23 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.
AP and other reporting from the Dallas GOP convention says JD Vance’s speech reinforced his status as an early frontrunner for the post-Trump race, which keeps the 2028 GOP VP/leadership market on watch for repricing.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
JD Vance is emerging as the clear early favorite for the 2028 Republican vice presidential nomination after high-profile GOP appearances in Dallas. Marco Rubio and several other names are still being discussed, and Vance says he will wait until after the midterms to decide. Vance’s repeated high-profile appearances likely strengthen his position in the market, but his lack of a formal decision keeps some uncertainty. The field still looks open enough for other contenders to matter.
Behind closed doors on Thursday, Vice President JD Vance urged a room full of Republicans to sell voters on the administration’s more popular achievements that he worried weren’t always breaking through.
DALLAS — Republicans descended on Dallas this week with the ostensible aim of helping their candidates win midterm elections in a difficult political environment. But for Vice President JD Vance, the moment offered a plum personal opportunity for an ambitious second-in-command. As he took the stage on Thursday night to deliver his keynote address, Vance […]
President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance used the GOP midterm convention in Dallas to paint contrasts with Democrats and energize supporters ahead of the midterm elections.
US Republicans returned to the stage Thursday to close their midterm convention, still betting that Donald Trump's political magnetism can overcome grim
Reports have surfaced that he is eyeing a 2028 presidential bid.
Vice President JD Vance’s midterm convention speech is one of the the expected 2028 candidate's last best opportunities to prove he can lead the GOP.
The Texas Republican also said the U.S. should arm protesters in Iran.
Florida voters cast ballots Tuesday for Republican and Democratic nominees for governor, U.S. Senate and several congressional races. The primaries will define a midterm ballot set to test President...
Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.
President Donald Trump has scored another win against a Republican rival, dislodging Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky’s primary and knocking out one of his most outspoken critics on Capitol Hill.
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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
