$1.5M
NOV 7, 2028Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 11, 2026, 9:53 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
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Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
JD Vance is getting the most attention as an early 2028 Republican front-runner, boosted by a prominent convention role in Dallas. Marco Rubio says he will not run, while Ted Cruz is waiting until after the midterms and Pete Hegseth denied interest. Mike Pence also urged Republicans to return to conservative roots ahead of 2028. Vance’s repeated front-runner coverage likely strengthens his standing in the broader 2028 GOP field. Rubio’s exit and Cruz’s delay leave the race open, keeping uncertainty high for vice-presidential speculation.
President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance used the GOP midterm convention in Dallas to paint contrasts with Democrats and energize supporters ahead of the midterm elections.
US Republicans returned to the stage Thursday to close their midterm convention, still betting that Donald Trump's political magnetism can overcome grim
The two day Republican convention in Dallas showcased the party's biggest asset in trying to win competitive midterm races and its greatest obstacle: President Trump.
Vice President JD Vance’s midterm convention speech is one of the the expected 2028 candidate's last best opportunities to prove he can lead the GOP.
Vice President JD Vance was billed as the headliner of the second night of the Republican convention, but President Donald Trump stole the show.
While Ted Cruz and JD Vance will both be appearing at the midterm convention that begins Wednesday in Dallas, Rubio has found urgent business elsewhere.
WASHINGTON (AP) — During his first address to a Republican convention in 2016, Donald Trump had an audacious message to a nation yearning for change: “I alone
Reports have surfaced that he is eyeing a 2028 presidential bid.
Ohio voters will decide races for governor, US Senate and other statewide offices in 2026. Some congressional races could be key to control of Congress.
The Texas Republican also said the U.S. should arm protesters in Iran.
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