Prediction Edge
Republican
John Thune

John Thune

Republican candidate for Presidential in South Dakota

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

John Thune is trading at 0% to win the 2028 Republican presidential nominee on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Senator

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age65 years old (Jan 7, 1961)

GenderMale

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LocationSouth Dakota

BackgroundPolitician

EducationBiola University (BA)

Notable personal detailsJohn Randolph Thune is a Republican U.S. senator from South Dakota, serving since January 3, 2005, and Senate Majority Leader since January 3, 2025. He previously served as South Dakota’s at-large member of the U.S. House of Representatives (1997–2003) and has held multiple Senate Republican leadership roles, including Republican whip (2019–2025). Thune earned a BA from Biola University and an MBA from the University of South Dakota.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

John Thune supports pro-growth tax cuts and has strongly backed the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and related business tax relief while opposing proposals to raise capital gains or other taxes on family businesses and farms. He frames tax policy around lowering rates, expanding deductions for businesses, and keeping more income with taxpayers to spur investment and job growth.

Healthcare

Supports market-based health care reforms that increase competition and consumer choice rather than expanding the government’s role; opposes Medicare for All and favors changes to Medicaid and the Affordable Care Act that slow federal growth and reduce mandates while supporting rural access and telehealth.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border security and enforcement-focused immigration policies, including increased Border Patrol and ICE staffing, expanded detention and deportations, limits on asylum/parole abuse, and physical barriers and technology at the southern border. Argues illegal immigration must be stopped and emphasizes enforcement and removals rather than broad regularization pathways.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports significant restrictions on abortion while opposing broad, unrestricted access. Has backed federal limits such as pain-capable/20-week protections, promoted born-alive protections, and describes himself as pro-life with a 100% pro-life voting record.

Climate & Energy

Supports an "all-of-the-above" energy approach that includes renewables but emphasizes continued use and expansion of conventional fossil fuels, energy independence, and reduced regulatory burdens. Criticizes aggressive Biden administration climate regulations and favors policies that prioritize domestic oil, natural gas, biofuels, and other American energy production.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate consistently defends broad Second Amendment rights, opposes new federal assault-weapons bans and ATF actions he views as regulatory overreach, and has signaled reluctance to advance universal background-check legislation in the Senate while supporting targeted NICS improvements and law-enforcement responses to gun crime.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 10, 2026

John Thune is in the news mainly because Donald Trump declined to endorse him for another term as Senate Majority Leader, highlighting tensions inside the GOP. Thune is also being mentioned in broader Republican election coverage as the party works to defend its narrow House majority and shape the 2026 midterms. Separately, he has been tied to GOP Senate campaign efforts, including backing Andy Barr in Kentucky’s Republican Senate primary.

thune.senate.gov+43

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$17.7M
$13.3M
$8.9M
$4.4M
$0

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2024

$4.2M
$15.4M
$5.7M
$238.4K

Cycle 2026

$4.1M
$17.7M
$1.8M
$100.7K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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