Prediction Edge

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Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

Iowa Senate winner?

The selected contract has a verified final result.

  • Josh Turek

    Will Democratics win the Senate race in Iowa?

    Selected market

    Final: Yes

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC

Democrat
Josh Turek

Josh Turek

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Iowa

Saved odds

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

Josh Turek is trading at 50% to win the Iowa Senate winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleState Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age47 years old (Apr 12, 1979)

GenderMale

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LocationIowa

BackgroundPolitician

Notable personal detailsJoshua Mark Turek is an American politician and wheelchair basketball player who represents Iowa House District 20 (Council Bluffs and Carter Lake). He is a two-time Paralympic gold medalist and four-time Paralympian, and he is the Democratic nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa. He filed for the open U.S. Senate seat in 2025 and campaigns through the committee Josh Turek for Iowa.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports protecting social safety-net programs and opposes tax cuts that primarily benefit billionaires and large corporations; emphasizes lowering costs for families, raising the minimum wage, and supporting farmers and small businesses. Advocates using government policy to preserve and expand programs such as Medicaid and ACA subsidies rather than pursuing tax cuts for the wealthy.

Healthcare

Supports affordable, accessible health care and protection of Affordable Care Act subsidies; describes health care as a human right and opposes policies that privatize or cut Medicaid and other safety-net programs. Focuses on preventing rural hospital closures and expanding government-backed assistance to lower costs and increase access.

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Immigration & Border

Supports protections for immigrant families and criticizes aggressive federal ICE actions while acknowledging the need for immigration laws targeting violent criminals. Emphasizes local control and community safety over expansive federal enforcement. Frames immigration policy with a humanitarian focus given personal family ties to immigrants.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports restoring broader abortion access in Iowa, has called for codifying Roe v. Wade at the federal level, and filed legislation to overturn the state’s six‑week abortion ban. Frames the six‑week ban as harmful to health care access and maternal care in Iowa.

Climate & Energy

States support for “meaningful and effective environmental protection,” with emphasis on air, food, and water, but public materials do not specify detailed climate or energy policies such as emissions targets, fossil-fuel phase-out, carbon pricing, or major clean-energy programs.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 15, 2026

Josh Turek is now the Democratic nominee in Iowa’s 2026 U.S. Senate race after winning the primary, and he is set to face Republican Ashley Hinson in the general election. He has recently been campaigning on lowering costs, including health care, gas, groceries, and insurance, while also pushing campaign finance and ethics reforms. Turek also received a high-profile endorsement from former President Barack Obama, which has boosted his campaign.

fec.gov+41

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Josh Turek currently averages 46.3%, ranking first in this race, 0.3 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 46.3%Position: firstMargin: +0.3 ptsLatest poll: 50.5% (Oct 28 - Nov 1)Polls included: 48

Average recalculated from polls through Oct 28 - Nov 1.

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
46.3%
46.0%
Josh Turek
J. Turek
Ashley Hinson
A. Hinson
Date (Start - End)SpreadTurekHinson
Polling Average
Turek+0.3
46.3%46.0%
AtlasIntelOct 28 - Nov 1
Turek+2.1
50.5%48.4%
The New York Times/Siena UniversityOct 26 - Nov 1
Turek+1.0
48.0%47.0%
GrayhouseOct 28 - 31
Hinson+2.0
46.0%48.0%
YouGovOct 26 - 29
Turek+1.0
50.0%49.0%
co/efficientOct 28 - 28
Hinson+2.0
46.0%48.0%
co/efficientOct 28 - 28
Hinson+2.0
46.0%48.0%
Echelon InsightsOct 16 - 23
Turek+2.0
45.0%43.0%
InsiderAdvantageOct 21 - 22
Hinson+1.5
45.5%47.0%
co/efficientOct 15 - 19
Hinson+3.0
45.0%48.0%
Trafalgar GroupOct 13 - 15
Hinson+1.7
44.2%45.9%
New River Strategies/GS Strategy GroupOct 9 - 13
Turek+2.0
46.0%44.0%
National Public AffairsOct 8 - 12
Hinson+3.0
44.0%47.0%
National Public AffairsOct 8 - 12
Hinson+1.0
47.0%48.0%
YouGovOct 6 - 12
Turek+1.0
47.0%46.0%
Marist UniversityOct 8 - 11
Turek+7.0
51.0%44.0%
Marist UniversityOct 8 - 11
Turek+3.0
48.0%45.0%
Emerson CollegeOct 5 - 6
Hinson+1.6
45.0%46.6%
CNN/SSRSSep 29 - Oct 5
Hinson+2.0
43.0%45.0%
Suffolk UniversityOct 1 - 4
Turek+4.4
48.0%43.6%
The New York Times/Siena UniversitySep 22 - Oct 1
Hinson+1.0
47.0%48.0%
Quantus InsightsSep 28 - 29
Hinson+1.9
46.6%48.5%
Quantus InsightsSep 28 - 29
Hinson+2.2
46.7%48.9%
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchSep 24 - 28
Turek+4.0
50.0%46.0%
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchSep 24 - 28
Turek+2.0
49.0%47.0%
InsiderAdvantageSep 22 - 23
Turek+1.7
47.4%45.7%
Marist UniversitySep 17 - 20
Turek+8.0
50.0%42.0%
Trafalgar GroupSep 16 - 18
Hinson+1.9
42.1%44.0%
co/efficientSep 14 - 16
Hinson+5.0
43.0%48.0%
co/efficientSep 14 - 16
Hinson+4.0
42.0%46.0%
CygnalSep 9 - 11
Hinson+0.0
42.9%42.9%
YouGovSep 3 - 8
Turek+2.0
45.0%43.0%
YouGovSep 3 - 8
Turek+4.0
47.0%43.0%
YouGovSep 3 - 8
Turek+1.0
44.0%43.0%
Emerson CollegeAug 31 - Sep 1
Hinson+4.4
45.1%49.5%
Global Strategy GroupAug 27 - 31
Turek+4.0
46.0%42.0%
Wedgewood PollsAug 27 - 29
Hinson+2.0
48.0%50.0%
Abacus DataAug 26 - 28
Turek+9.0
54.0%45.0%
Abacus DataAug 26 - 28
Turek+6.0
52.0%46.0%
Suffolk UniversityAug 19 - 22
Hinson+4.6
40.8%45.4%
Emerson CollegeAug 2 - 4
Hinson+2.5
45.0%47.5%
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchJun 23 - 27
Turek+4.0
50.0%46.0%
The New York Times/Siena UniversityJun 15 - 27
Hinson+2.0
46.0%48.0%
CygnalJun 16 - 19
Hinson+1.8
44.2%46.0%
Global Strategy GroupJun 8 - 11
Turek+2.0
47.0%45.0%
Public Policy PollingJun 3 - 4
Turek+0.0
46.0%46.0%
Echelon InsightsApr 3 - 9
Turek+1.0
46.0%45.0%
GBAOMar 10 - 16
Hinson+4.0
43.0%47.0%
Change ResearchJan 8 - 11
Hinson+3.0
41.0%44.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$6.3M
$4.7M
$3.1M
$1.6M
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$6.3M
$2.4M
$3.9M
$217.5K

Source: FEC

Not available in this saved edition

These sections were unavailable when this edition was saved. No automatic updates.

  • Endorsements