Prediction Edge
Republican
Matt Gaetz

Overview

Current roleFormer U.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

Age44 years old (May 7, 1982)

GenderMale

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LocationFlorida

BackgroundAttorney

EducationFlorida State University — B.S. (2003)

Notable personal detailsMatthew Louis Gaetz II is an American politician and attorney who served as the U.S. representative for Florida's 1st congressional district from 2017 until resigning on 2024-11-13. He previously served in the Florida House of Representatives from 2010 to 2016. He earned a B.S. from Florida State University and a J.D. from the College of William & Mary Law School and worked in private legal practice.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports major tax cuts and free-market policies, has repeatedly voted for tax reductions and deregulation, and has proposed legislation to eliminate taxes on tips. He has endorsed replacing the income tax with a national sales tax (FairTax) in the past and frames tax cuts as a path to economic growth and reduced government size.

Healthcare

Supports repeal of the Affordable Care Act and favors conservative, market-based health‑care reforms rather than expanded government programs. Has repeatedly urged repeal of Obamacare and backed Republican replacement efforts. Advocated restricting federal roles in health programs and opposed COVID vaccine/pass digital health mandates tied to federal funding.

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Immigration & Border

Supports restrictionist and enforcement-focused immigration policies, including ending unqualified birthright citizenship and tightening border controls; has introduced legislation to limit birthright citizenship and has called for shutting the southern border and other strong enforcement measures.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports strong legal restrictions on abortion and identifies as "pro‑life without exception." Has sponsored and backed legislation to ban taxpayer-funded abortions, defund Planned Parenthood, and extend legal protection to unborn life (life begins at conception).

Climate & Energy

Supports acknowledging that the Earth is warming but favors market-driven, innovation-focused responses and reduced regulation rather than aggressive federal mandates; has proposed a Republican “Green Real Deal” emphasizing clean energy investment through private-sector innovation while opposing expanded EPA regulation.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expansive Second Amendment rights, opposes 'red flag' laws and other new restrictions, and has advocated for policies that expand carrying rights and reciprocity. Holds a lifetime NRA membership and an A/A+ rating from the NRA and has made public statements characterizing the Second Amendment as a bulwark against government overreach.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Matt Gaetz is being discussed in the context of Democrats’ 2026 anti-corruption messaging, which is aimed at allegations of self-dealing and favoritism among Trump allies and congressional Republicans. Separate Florida polling shows Republicans holding only single-digit leads in the state’s 2026 governor and Senate races, suggesting a more competitive environment. Recent coverage also highlights GOP-backed election and redistricting fights, including stricter voter ID rules and map-drawing battles that could shape the 2026 contests.

history.house.gov+60

Polls

Florida Republican Governor nominee?
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
11.6%
31.8%
20.4%
Matt Gaetz
M. Gaetz
Casey DeSantis
C. DeSantis
Byron Donalds
B. Donalds
Jimmy Patronis
J. Patronis
Charles Burkett
C. Burkett
Wilton Simpson
W. Simpson
Date (Start - End)SpreadGaetzDeSantisDonaldsPatronisBurkettSimpson
Polling Average
DeSantis+20.2
11.6%31.8%20.4%3.2%3.0%2.2%
University of North Florida Public Opinion Research LabJul 14 - 22
DeSantis+24.0
8.0%32.0%29.0%1.0%
Targoz Market ResearchMay 5 - 7
DeSantis+19.0
10.0%29.0%28.0%3.0%4.0%
Targoz Market ResearchApr 15 - 22
DeSantis+19.0
8.0%27.0%24.0%3.0%4.0%
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet ResearchJun 8 - 9
DeSantis+30.0
13.0%43.0%19.0%5.0%
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet ResearchApr 15 - 17
DeSantis+21.5
16.1%37.6%
Victory InsightsApr 3 - 6
Donalds+7.8
12.8%20.6%2.9%2.1%
Kaplan StrategiesFeb 27 - 28
Gaetz+3.0
16.0%13.0%2.0%1.0%
University of North Florida Public Opinion Research LabOct 23 - Nov 4
DeSantis+13.0
9.0%22.0%9.0%3.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

Endorsers of Matt Gaetz for Florida Republican Governor nominee?

Colton Moore

Public figure

Colton Moore endorsed Matt Gaetz.

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Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$6.8M
$5.1M
$3.4M
$1.7M
$0

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2024

$6.8M
$518.2K
$6.8M
$284.3K

Cycle 2026

$176.4K
$37.3K
$657.2K
$36.5K

Source: FEC