Prediction Edge
Republican
Randall Arrington

Randall Arrington

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Louisiana

Live Odds — LA-01 Republican nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

3.9%chance to win

$134.8KNOV 3, 2027

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Navy naval aviator

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

GenderMale

LocationLouisiana

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BackgroundU.S. Navy naval aviator

EducationUniversity of New Orleans — PhD (1998)

Notable personal detailsRandall Steven Arrington is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Louisiana's 1st Congressional District. He has reported service in the U.S. Navy as a naval aviator, retiring at the rank of commander. He has reported earning a PhD from the University of New Orleans (1998).

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Climate & Energy

The candidate has expressed climate skepticism and described climate change as a "Cultural Marxist scam," signaling opposition to mainstream climate policy. Public materials and reporting show his campaign activity is centered on conservative positions and criticism of climate-change framing.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 8, 2026

Randall Arrington is now officially set as a candidate in Louisiana’s 5th Congressional District after qualifying closed. The field for the November election is now finalized following the earlier cancellation of the House primaries and redrawn district maps. The reporting does not add other major new developments about his campaign.

fec.gov+46

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Ragnar Research Partners
5%4%3%2%1%0%
Randall Arrington
R. Arrington
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Ragnar Research PartnersApr 16, 2025
3.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

1
LA-01 Republican nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2024

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$74.6K
$55.9K
$37.3K
$18.6K
$0

2024

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2024

$74.6K
$0.00
$74.5K
$3.2K

Source: FEC