$134.8K
MAY 16, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 18, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 4% | — | |
| 3% | $10.64M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Trump’s endorsement has boosted Julia Letlow in Louisiana Republican contests, and she led the Senate primary with 45% before the June 27 runoff. Separate coverage says Bill Cassidy could be squeezed out of the top two, highlighting how Trump’s influence is shaping the state’s GOP primaries. The news appears to strengthen Trump-backed candidates and suggests Letlow remains well positioned in Louisiana GOP contests. It also points to continued uncertainty around the broader Republican primary field.
Voters in four of Alabama’s seven congressional districts will select U.S. House nominees Tuesday under a new map that eliminates one of the state’s two majority-Black districts currently represented by Democrats.
Donald Trump's endorsements face a key test in the Arizona primary, including backing Andy Biggs for the GOP gubernatorial nomination against Katie Hobbs in November.
Several key primary races, including California’s governor, remain uncalled, CBS News veteran correspondent Scott Pelley is sacked and Republicans get a boost with Alabama’s congressional map.
The five-term congressman should be and probably is a shoo-in for reelection but he's being challenged in his own party by two rivals.
U.S. Rep. Julia Letlow is vying for the Republican Senate nomination in Louisiana against state Treasurer John Fleming, while farmer Jamie Davis faces off against business owner Gary Crockett
By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
That U.S. Bill Cassidy, not only a two-term incumbent but a powerful committee chair, is fighting to survive this week’s Republican primary says less about him than it does about the changing nature of American politics, columnist Stephanie Grace writes.
President Donald Trump and allies target Sen. Bill Cassidy and Rep. Thomas Massie in upcoming GOP primaries after Trump-backed challengers won five Indiana state Senate races.
The NRCC’s polling of the battleground districts shows Republicans are competitive in five Democrat-held districts that Trump won in 2024.
Qualifying period opens Wednesday for U.S. House, local races across Capital Region
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
S. ScaliseSteve ScaliseSource: FEC
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