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Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
LA-01 Republican nominee?
The selected contract has a verified final result.
Final: No
Settled Nov 3, 2026, 4:04 PM UTC
Republican
Randall Arrington
Republican candidate for U.S. House in Louisiana
Republican
Randall Arrington
Republican candidate for U.S. House in Louisiana
$176.2K
NOV 3, 2027Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Saved odds — LA-01 Republican nominee?
Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
1.6%chance to win
$176.2KNOV 3, 2027Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Navy naval aviator
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican
GenderMale
LocationLouisiana
Show moreShow less
BackgroundU.S. Navy naval aviator
EducationUniversity of New Orleans — PhD (1998)
Notable personal detailsRandall Steven Arrington is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Louisiana's 1st Congressional District. He has reported service in the U.S. Navy as a naval aviator, retiring at the rank of commander. He has reported earning a PhD from the University of New Orleans (1998).
SourcesShowHide
fec.govdocquery.fec.govivoterguide.comballotready.orgaipactracker.usthemidtermproject.orgen.wikipedia.orgvote-usa.orgmyplainview.comhistory.house.govtelemundolubbock.comreddertexas.comeenews.nettxroundtable.comreddit.comclerk.house.govrandolphcountync.govarxiv.orgpowercoalition.orgdsaneworleans.orglailluminator.comthehayride.comw.twstalker.comantigravitymagazine.comwaysandmeans.house.govbudget.house.govarrington.house.govkcbd.comtexasgopvote.comyahoo.comeasthoustonnews.comintch.orgbhamwiki.comabcm.myassociationdirectory.comconnectingdirectors.comnachc.orgx.cominstagram.comwwltv.comshreveporttimes.compredictionedge.comfacebook.comballotpedia.orglocalcandidates.orgvetfriends.comvotesmart.orgstatic.votesmart.orgjustfacts.votesmart.orgcdn.ballotpedia.org
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Climate & Energy
The candidate has expressed climate skepticism and described climate change as a "Cultural Marxist scam," signaling opposition to mainstream climate policy. Public materials and reporting show his campaign activity is centered on conservative positions and criticism of climate-change framing.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 8, 2026
Randall Arrington is now officially set as a candidate in Louisiana’s 5th Congressional District after qualifying closed. The field for the November election is now finalized following the earlier cancellation of the House primaries and redrawn district maps. The reporting does not add other major new developments about his campaign.
fec.gov+48
Latest Polls
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2024Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$74.6K
$55.9K
$37.3K
$18.6K
$0
2024
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2024
$74.6K
$0.00
$74.5K
$3.2K
Source: FEC
Not available in this saved edition
These sections were unavailable when this edition was saved. No automatic updates.
- Endorsements