Prediction Edge
Republican
Steve Hilton

Overview

Current rolePolitical strategist

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age56 years old (Aug 25, 1969)

GenderMale

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LocationCalifornia

BackgroundPolitical strategist

EducationChrist's Hospital School (bursary student)

Notable personal detailsSteve Hilton is a Republican candidate for Governor of California in the 2026 election cycle. He is a political strategist and media personality who served as director of strategy for U.K. Prime Minister David Cameron (2010–2012) and later worked as a television and podcast host in the United States. He studied Philosophy, Politics and Economics at New College, Oxford, and has lived in California since moving from the U.K. in 2012; he became a U.S. citizen in 2021.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate proposes large tax cuts including eliminating state income tax for households earning under $100,000 and replacing the current brackets with a 7.5% flat tax on earnings above $100,000, while also calling for major reductions in state spending and significant deregulation to shrink California’s administrative state.

Healthcare

The candidate supports cutting state healthcare spending for noncitizens (ending full Medi‑Cal coverage for undocumented immigrants) and redirecting savings to expand affordability for citizens and legal residents, advocates reforms to Medicaid/mental‑health funding, and emphasizes reducing overall government healthcare spending and wait times. He frames healthcare changes as part of broader spending reductions and affordability initiatives rather than expanding public coverage programs.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger immigration enforcement and greater cooperation with federal immigration authorities, criticizes California sanctuary policies, and frames enforcement as necessary to uphold the rule of law and public safety. Emphasizes targeting noncitizens with criminal records and faults state leaders for not enforcing existing laws.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate positions toward restricting abortion access and promoting pro-life policies; he has said he would ‘move us towards life’ as governor and indicated actions to roll back California’s abortion-supportive policies, including allowing extradition of an out-of-state doctor accused in an abortion-related case.

Climate & Energy

The candidate opposes California’s current renewable mandates and climate regulations, proposes repealing the Renewable Portfolio Standard, Low Carbon Fuel Standard, cap-and-trade, and other mandates, and prioritizes affordable, reliable energy including natural gas and nuclear while protecting farmland from utility-scale solar. The campaign frames these policies as driving high energy and gasoline costs and calls for dismantling what it describes as Democrat ‘climate extremism’ in favor of market-driven and affordability-focused energy policy.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate emphasizes strong support for law enforcement and public safety while expressing support for the Second Amendment and the right to self‑defense. He has also written in favor of meaningful gun reforms such as expanded background checks and red flag measures while aiming to protect gun ownership rights.

Latest Insights

California Governor winner?

5d

Hilton’s win price ticked up to 10% while AP and Los Angeles Times reporting still show him in the fight for the second general-election spot, keeping the runoff battle tradable.

10%10%

California Governor winner?

7d

AP’s call that Xavier Becerra advances has coincided with Steve Hilton’s contract falling to 9.6%, keeping Hilton and Tom Steyer in a shifting fight for the second general-election slot.

10%

California Governor winner?

7d

Steve Hilton’s win contract jumped to 10% while AP projected Xavier Becerra into the general election, leaving Hilton and Tom Steyer to fight for the remaining slot.

10%35%

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 13, 2026

Steve Hilton has advanced to the November general election in California’s governor’s race after finishing second in the state’s top-two primary. He is set to face Xavier Becerra, with late-counted mail ballots still shaping the final vote totals. The race has also drawn attention because of claims about slow counting and fraud, but officials have said the delays are due to California’s ballot-processing rules.

en.wikipedia.org+46

Polls

Polling Average
80%60%40%20%0%
33.5%
55%
55%
15%
Steve Hilton
S. Hilton
Tom Steyer
T. Steyer
Xavier Becerra
X. Becerra
Chad Bianco
C. Bianco
Date (Start - End)SpreadHiltonSteyerBecerraBianco
Polling Average
Steyer+21.5
33.5%55.0%55.0%15.0%
University of Southern California/California State University Long Beach Center for Urban Politics and Policy/Cal Poly PomonaMay 23 - 26
Becerra+23.0
35.0%58.0%
University of Southern California/California State University Long Beach Center for Urban Politics and Policy/Cal Poly PomonaMay 23 - 26
Hilton+19.0
34.0%15.0%
University of Southern California/California State University Long Beach Center for Urban Politics and Policy/Cal Poly PomonaMay 23 - 26
Steyer+21.0
34.0%55.0%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesMay 19 - 24
Becerra+21.0
31.0%52.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising