

Compare the candidates' live odds and polling averages. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average |
|---|---|---|
| 97% | 56.7% | |
| 3% | 36.5% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Becerra and Hilton are heading into a Sept. 30 debate as the California governor race moves toward the Nov. 3 general election. Recent polling cited in coverage shows Becerra ahead statewide. Newsom’s 2028 comments are notable politically, but they do not directly affect this governor market. The latest California governor news still points to a Democratic edge, with Becerra leading in recent polling. The Newsom comments do not appear to change this market directly.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Sep 15, 2026 and Oct 25, 2026.


Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
X. BecerraXavier BecerraSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.