$1.2M
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 13, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and polling averages. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average |
|---|---|---|
| 95% | 56.8% | |
| 4% | 34.4% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
A new California poll shows Xavier Becerra well ahead of Steve Hilton in the governor’s race. Katie Porter has also said she is unlikely to run again after finishing far behind in the primary. The general election matchup remains Becerra vs. Hilton. The poll points to a stronger position for Democrats in the governor’s race. Porter’s exit does not change the matchup, but it removes a former candidate from the field and leaves Becerra vs. Hilton as the clear contest.
Speaking at the Politico Summit in Sacramento Tuesday, the former attorney general said he’s keeping his agenda loose to avoid disappointing voters.
And a new study suggests California should look to Orange County for tips to speed up the vote counting process.
A UC Berkeley poll found 52% of the electorate is in favor of Xavier Becerra, while 31% of voters support Steve Hilton.
Republican Steve Hilton secured his spot in California’s gubernatorial showdown against Democrat Xavier Becerra, launching a personal campaign video.
The former Fox News host will have one of two slots on the ballot.
Former Democratic U.S. Health Secretary and California Attorney General Becerra will face off in November against Republican former Fox host Hilton.
The last week has brought the largest resurgence of election denialism since the aftermath of the 2020 election. Many on the right have cried foul over late shifts toward Democrats in results from California’s June 2 primary.
Here's what to know about two key California races and who is advancing to the November general election.
Republican, Trump-backed candidate Steve Hilton won the second of two spots in the California Governor's Primary race on Monday evening, nearly a week after election day.
Here's what to know about California's top two races and where its frontrunners stand.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between May 19, 2026 and Aug 9, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
X. BecerraXavier BecerraSource: FEC
