$1.5M
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 15, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and polling averages. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average |
|---|---|---|
| 96% | 56.4% | |
| 4% | 36.3% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Becerra is ahead in recent statewide polling, and the race is now heading toward a Sept. 30 debate. Hilton finished second in the primary and is trying to sharpen his message with a high-profile DMV proposal. The latest polling and primary results point to a modest edge for Becerra and the Democrats. Hilton’s debate push and policy rollout could narrow attention, but the current signal still favors Becerra.
Democrat Xavier Becerra and Republican Steve Hilton will face off in a CNN debate days before California voters receive their mail-in ballots.
Republican candidate Steve Hilton is vowing to abolish California’s DMV and cap annual vehicle registration at $73, reviving memories of Arnold Schwarzenegger's fee reduction.
President Donald Trump says he slipped away from Air Force One after a trip last month in Turkey because the Secret Service and military wanted him on a “different plane” due to a threat he insisted didn’t scare him.
And a new study suggests California should look to Orange County for tips to speed up the vote counting process.
A UC Berkeley poll found 52% of the electorate is in favor of Xavier Becerra, while 31% of voters support Steve Hilton.
Republican Steve Hilton secured his spot in California’s gubernatorial showdown against Democrat Xavier Becerra, launching a personal campaign video.
The former Fox News host will have one of two slots on the ballot.
Former Democratic U.S. Health Secretary and California Attorney General Becerra will face off in November against Republican former Fox host Hilton.
The last week has brought the largest resurgence of election denialism since the aftermath of the 2020 election. Many on the right have cried foul over late shifts toward Democrats in results from California’s June 2 primary.
Here's what to know about two key California races and who is advancing to the November general election.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between May 19, 2026 and Aug 16, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
X. BecerraXavier BecerraSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
