Prediction Edge
Democrat
Graham Platner

Graham Platner

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Maine

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Graham Platner is trading at 0% to win the Maine Senate winner? (Person) on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleOyster farmer

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age41 years old (Sep 1, 1984)

GenderMale

Show more

LocationMaine

BackgroundOyster farmer

Notable personal detailsGraham Cunningham Platner is an American oyster farmer and military veteran who ran for U.S. Senate in Maine in the 2026 cycle. He has described himself as a Marine and U.S. Army veteran and has held local municipal roles in Sullivan, Maine, including service on the town planning board. Platner won the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate in Maine in June 2026 and later formally withdrew from the race in July 2026.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports substantially higher taxes on wealthy individuals and billionaires (including a ‘billionaire minimum tax’ and ‘tax the rich’ proposals) to fund expanded public programs such as universal healthcare and stronger social supports. Advocates dismantling what he calls a ‘billionaire economy’ in favor of an economy that prioritizes workers, small businesses, and public goods.

Healthcare

The candidate supports Medicare for All and calls healthcare a basic human right. He pledges to move away from the for‑profit insurance system, fund rural hospitals, expand Medicare/Medicaid, and empower the government to negotiate prescription drug prices.

Show more

Immigration & Border

Supports a path to citizenship and opposes mass deportations and ICE operations in communities while also saying the country needs strong border security. Calls for ending what he calls the “mass deportation machine,” organizing resistance to ICE actions, and seeking immigration reform paired with border measures.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Public reporting shows mixed signals on Platner’s stance. Some news coverage describes him as defending abortion rights, while other pieces quote him expressing uncertainty about whether abortion is murder or healthcare, and his campaign site does not provide a clear, detailed policy statement on reproductive rights.

Climate & Energy

Supports urgent action on climate change, strengthening the Clean Air and Clean Water Acts, and federal investment to protect Maine’s environment and create good union jobs tied to clean energy and waterfront resilience.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate identifies as a lifelong gun owner who supports targeted gun-safety measures while respecting lawful gun ownership. He has expressed conditional support for red flag laws and did not endorse a ban on semi-automatic/assault-style weapons, saying such bans focus on aesthetics over function. He has described the three-day waiting period enacted in Maine as potentially excessive personally but said he would not oppose it if passed by the legislature.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 13, 2026

Graham Platner has returned to public view after ending his Maine Senate campaign, and he is scheduled to speak at a Labor Day rally in Ellsworth that is not affiliated with the state Democratic Party. He withdrew after a campaign collapse tied to allegations and other controversies, including disputed sexual assault claims, explicit messages, social media posts, and a tattoo resembling Nazi imagery. Maine Democrats have since replaced him with Troy Jackson as their Senate nominee.

fec.gov+48

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Graham Platner currently averages 46.9%, ranking first in this race, 2.9 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 46.9%Position: firstMargin: +2.9 ptsLatest poll: 42.0% (Jul 7 - 7)Polls included: 26

Average recalculated from polls through Jul 7 - 7.

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
46.9%
44.0%
Graham Platner
G. Platner
Susan Collins
S. Collins
Date (Start - End)SpreadPlatnerCollins
Polling Average
Platner+2.9
46.9%44.0%
Public Policy PollingJul 7 - 7
Collins+5.0
42.0%47.0%
Tavern ResearchJul 3 - 6
Platner+4.0
52.0%48.0%
Wedgewood PollsJul 4 - 6
Collins+4.0
46.0%50.0%
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchJun 23 - 27
Collins+3.0
47.0%50.0%
The New York Times/Siena UniversityJun 19 - 26
Platner+2.0
49.0%47.0%
WickJun 11 - 14
Platner+2.2
47.6%45.4%
Quantus InsightsJun 9 - 11
Platner+1.0
46.0%45.0%
Tavern ResearchJun 5 - 8
Platner+2.0
51.0%49.0%
The Public Sentiment InstituteJun 8 - 8
Collins+0.6
43.1%43.7%
Fabrizio, Lee & AssociatesJun 1 - 3
Collins+0.0
46.0%46.0%
Public Policy PollingJun 2 - 3
Platner+4.0
49.0%45.0%
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGovMay 13 - 26
Platner+5.0
48.0%43.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterMay 21 - 25
Platner+9.0
51.0%42.0%
Pan Atlantic ResearchMay 8 - 18
Platner+7.0
48.0%41.0%
Echelon InsightsApr 3 - 9
Platner+6.0
51.0%45.0%
Maine People's Resource CenterMar 20 - 31
Platner+9.0
48.3%39.3%
Emerson CollegeMar 21 - 23
Platner+7.2
47.8%40.6%
OnMessage Public StrategiesMar 3 - 8
Platner+2.0
44.0%42.0%
Quantus InsightsMar 3 - 5
Platner+6.8
48.6%41.8%
Pan Atlantic ResearchFeb 13 - Mar 2
Platner+4.0
44.0%40.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterFeb 12 - 16
Platner+11.0
49.0%38.0%
Fabrizio, Lee & AssociatesJan 20 - 24
Collins+1.0
44.0%45.0%
Workbench StrategyDec 11 - 16
Platner+0.8
50.4%49.6%
Pan Atlantic ResearchNov 29 - Dec 7
Platner+1.0
43.0%42.0%
Maine People's Resource CenterOct 26 - 29
Platner+3.9
44.8%40.9%
Zenith ResearchOct 7 - 10
Platner+0.0
38.0%38.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

14

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$21.1M
$15.8M
$10.5M
$5.3M
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$21.1M
$1.8M
$19.3M
$1.1M

Source: FEC