Prediction Edge
Democrat
Xavier Becerra

Xavier Becerra

Democratic candidate for Governor in California

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Xavier Becerra is trading at 96% to win the California Governor winner? (Person) on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer Attorney General

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age68 years old (Jan 26, 1958)

GenderMale

Show more

LocationCalifornia

BackgroundAttorney

EducationStanford University — B.A., 1980

Notable personal detailsXavier Becerra is an American attorney and politician who served as U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services (2021–2025) and as Attorney General of California (2017–2021). He represented California in the U.S. House of Representatives from 1993 to 2017 after serving in the California State Assembly. He earned a B.A. (1980) and J.D. (1984) from Stanford University.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Healthcare

Has a long record of supporting expanded public coverage (including past endorsements of Medicare for All) but in office and in recent statements has emphasized defending and strengthening the Affordable Care Act and pursuing pragmatic expansions such as a public option and broader access to coverage.

Immigration & Border

Supports protecting immigrants and California’s sanctuary policies, opposes state cooperation with federal immigration enforcement beyond notifying ICE for certain incarcerated individuals, and favors measures to limit ICE overreach and document enforcement actions. Emphasizes humanitarian access to services such as health care for immigrants and policing federal immigration agents’ conduct.

Show more

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Xavier Becerra supports broad access to abortion and has directed federal efforts to protect and expand access to medication abortion, patient and provider privacy, and family planning services. He has criticized the overturning of Roe v. Wade and instructed HHS to use legally available authority to preserve reproductive-care access. His campaign positions emphasize protecting rights and freedoms for Californians, consistent with his record defending reproductive rights in public office.

Climate & Energy

Supports accelerating California’s transition to clean energy, expanding electric-vehicle adoption and charging infrastructure, and using state policy and revenue tools to make low-emission vehicles and clean energy affordable for families. Has defended California’s emissions and vehicle standards in official roles and emphasizes holding wealthy corporations and billionaires to pay their fair share to fund climate resilience and equity.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports California’s strong gun-safety framework, including expanded background checks and tools like gun violence restraining orders, while also backing investments in local law enforcement. As Attorney General he defended and promoted state gun-safety measures and urged federal action on ammunition background checks and other restrictions. His campaign platform emphasizes keeping communities safe through enforcement and prevention measures rather than wholesale loosening of gun laws.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 13, 2026

Xavier Becerra is leading Steve Hilton in the California governor’s race, with a new poll showing him ahead 55% to 37% among likely voters. He has also rolled out a new campaign proposal to give lower-income households two free hours of electricity each day, a plan aimed at easing high power costs. Hilton has attacked Becerra over allegations tied to migrant children from his time at HHS, but Becerra’s campaign has rejected those claims.

history.house.gov+68

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Xavier Becerra currently averages 51.9%, ranking first in this race, 17.5 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 51.9%Position: firstMargin: +17.5 ptsLatest poll: 55.0% (Aug 3 - 9)Polls included: 7

Average recalculated from polls through Aug 3 - 9.

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
51.9%
34.4%
26%
22%
Xavier Becerra
X. Becerra
Steve Hilton
S. Hilton
Tom Steyer
T. Steyer
Katie Porter
K. Porter
Date (Start - End)SpreadBecerraHiltonSteyerPorter
Polling Average
Becerra+17.5
51.9%34.4%26.0%22.0%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesAug 3 - 9
Becerra+18.0
55.0%37.0%
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaJun 29 - Jul 6
Becerra+25.0
61.0%36.0%
Kreate StrategiesJun 13 - 17
Becerra+25.0
58.0%33.0%
University of Southern California/California State University Long Beach Center for Urban Politics and Policy/Cal Poly PomonaMay 23 - 26
Becerra+23.0
58.0%35.0%
University of Southern California/California State University Long Beach Center for Urban Politics and Policy/Cal Poly PomonaMay 23 - 26
Becerra+11.0
37.0%26.0%
University of Southern California/California State University Long Beach Center for Urban Politics and Policy/Cal Poly PomonaMay 23 - 26
Becerra+20.0
42.0%22.0%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesMay 19 - 24
Becerra+21.0
52.0%31.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

24
California Governor primary: 1st place

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.4M
$1.1M
$723.2K
$361.6K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$28.5K
$1.4M
$46.4K
$1.9K

Cycle 2024

$88.8K
$1.4M
$53.6K
$2.2K

Cycle 2026

$6.09
$1.4M
$75.4K

Source: FEC