Republican Party
56%24H96%Republican Party's odds are now 96%, above the prior high of 40% over the last 23 days.
Republican Party's odds are now 96%, above the prior high of 40% over the last 23 days.
The biggest development is that the Wisconsin Senate defeated a bipartisan tax relief and school funding bill after the Assembly had already passed it. The deal had been framed as a major budget agreement using part of the state surplus. The collapse keeps attention on control of the Legislature heading into the election cycle. The Senate defeat is a setback for bipartisan legislative action and may reinforce the importance of chamber control. The effect on Assembly control is indirect, but it keeps the race politically salient.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.