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2026 Wisconsin State House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Wisconsin State House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Market closes: Nov 6, 11:59pm ET (Nov 7, 4:59am UTC)

Wisconsin State Assembly winner?

$1.9K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

D. Party

66.0%

R. Party

40.0%

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OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 10, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$1.9K

24h volume

D. Party66%

R. Party40%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Race Updates

Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.

Wisconsin State Assembly winner?

Democratic Party's odds are now 66%, past the previous low of 75%.

66%9%

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

David Crowley won Wisconsin’s Democratic gubernatorial primary after a very close race with Francesca Hong. He now faces Republican Tom Tiffany in the general election. The result followed a late establishment push and an endorsement from Gov. Tony Evers. Crowley’s nomination may modestly improve Democratic confidence in the broader Wisconsin ticket, but the Assembly market impact is indirect. Overall, the news slightly reduces uncertainty rather than clearly shifting control odds.

Articles

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette28 days ago

Tiffany says Crowley's primary win won't change Wisconsin governor race

In Bellevue, Tom Tiffany delivered his first message as the Republican nominee for governor, focusing on Crowley and the Democratic primary outcome.

VVox.com29 days ago

Francesca Hong lost. Here’s what it means for progressives.

The socialist candidate for governor fell short Tuesday as concerns about her electability carried the day.

HHuffPost29 days ago

David Crowley Wins Dem Primary For Wisconsin Governor

Crowley defeated Francesca Hong, whom party leaders feared would be a weak general election candidate.

F9FOX 929 days ago

Wisconsin governor primary: Democrats Crowley, Hong separated by few hundred votes

In one of the closest primary races of the evening, two Democratic Wisconsin governor candidates ran races that separated themselves from each other by only a few thousand votes.

PPOLITICO1 month ago

Wisconsin Democrats’ governor primary is an all-out fight over electability

Francesca Hong says she can appeal to a wide coalition in November. Her detractors worry the democratic socialist will lose the crucial battleground race.

MMassLive1 month ago

Democrat ripped over jaw-dropping Thanksgiving take: ‘You’re losing’

The democratic socialist candidate made the post, which has since been deleted, in 2020.

TAThe Associated Press2 months ago

Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers backs David Crowley in Democratic primary

Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers endorses Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley in the state's Democratic gubernatorial primary. This comes a day after Lt. Gov.

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette2 months ago

How Wisconsin governor Democratic primary looks with Rodriguez out

Here's how the Wisconsin governor race, and the Democratic primary, stand after Sara Rodriguez ended her campaign.

WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit2 months ago

Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez quits Democratic governor's race over campaign finance problems

Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez has abandoned her Democratic primary campaign for governor, citing financial concerns.

PNPBS News3 months ago

Mamdani tests his political clout in New York's primary as he looks to reshape the Democratic Party

Not long ago, New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani was demonized by leaders of both political parties. Today, just six months after taking office, the 34-year-old democratic socialist's political strength is surging.

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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2026 Wisconsin State House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Wisconsin State Assembly winner?

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

Wisconsin State Assembly winner?

Latest Election News

Tiffany says Crowley's primary win won't change Wisconsin governor race

Francesca Hong lost. Here’s what it means for progressives.

David Crowley Wins Dem Primary For Wisconsin Governor

Wisconsin governor primary: Democrats Crowley, Hong separated by few hundred votes

Wisconsin Democrats’ governor primary is an all-out fight over electability

Democrat ripped over jaw-dropping Thanksgiving take: ‘You’re losing’

Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers backs David Crowley in Democratic primary

How Wisconsin governor Democratic primary looks with Rodriguez out

Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez quits Democratic governor's race over campaign finance problems

Mamdani tests his political clout in New York's primary as he looks to reshape the Democratic Party

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Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

Wisconsin State Assembly winner?

Latest Election News

Tiffany says Crowley's primary win won't change Wisconsin governor race

Francesca Hong lost. Here’s what it means for progressives.

David Crowley Wins Dem Primary For Wisconsin Governor

Wisconsin governor primary: Democrats Crowley, Hong separated by few hundred votes

Wisconsin Democrats’ governor primary is an all-out fight over electability

Democrat ripped over jaw-dropping Thanksgiving take: ‘You’re losing’

Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers backs David Crowley in Democratic primary

How Wisconsin governor Democratic primary looks with Rodriguez out

Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez quits Democratic governor's race over campaign finance problems

Mamdani tests his political clout in New York's primary as he looks to reshape the Democratic Party

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