Democratic Party
5%24H75%Democratic Party's odds moved above the prior high of 70%, reaching 75% in the Wisconsin State Senate winner race.
Democratic Party's odds moved above the prior high of 70%, reaching 75% in the Wisconsin State Senate winner race.
Wisconsin Senate Republicans blocked a bipartisan tax relief and school funding bill, despite earlier Assembly approval and a broader budget deal. Separately, both parties are treating Wisconsin as a key battleground, with Republicans pushing for JD Vance to campaign there and Democrats targeting legislative gains. The Senate bill defeat may reinforce the sense of a closely divided and politically contentious chamber, but it does not by itself change control odds. Broader campaign activity suggests both parties see Wisconsin as competitive, keeping the market uncertain.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.