$2.6K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 25, 2026, 3:28 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
|---|---|
| 80% | |
| 24% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The biggest development is that Jon Ickes will remain on the ballot after the Ohio Supreme Court rejected a late challenge to his eligibility. The ruling means voters will still see him on the November ballot, even though he could not serve as judge if elected. If he wins, a temporary replacement would be appointed. This keeps Ickes in the race and removes a ballot-access risk, which may slightly reduce uncertainty. The ruling does not say anything about his chances of winning.
One of them is a Republican senator and ally of the president. The other is a retired schoolteacher whom Republicans accuse of being a Democratic plant to siphon away votes.
The preemptive move intends to stop certification if Sen. Dan Sullivan loses. Another candidate with the same name as the GOP incumbent is on the ballot.
Sometimes bad things happen to bad people.
The Trump administration has filed a lawsuit to block certification of the U.S. Senate race in Alaska if Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan loses.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
