$12.4K
JUN 23, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Jun 22, 2026, 4:23 PM UTC.
Total volume
$12.4K
24h volume
$1.3K
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 99% | $5.10M | |
| 1% | $7 | |
| 1% | $26.9K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
NY-04 is drawing heavier campaign attention as Gillen and Driscoll trade attacks and Republicans lean into crime and anti-socialist messaging. Trump’s planned Nassau County visit adds more support for the GOP side. The race remains a closely contested swing seat. The latest coverage keeps NY-04 looking highly competitive, with no clear shift in the race. Trump’s visit and the attack messaging may slightly boost Republican attention, but the overall effect is mixed.
The Kentucky primary pits Massie, one of the most conservative members of Congress, against Trump and many wealthy donors.
First-term Democratic Rep. Laura Gillen falsely accused Republican nominee Jeanine Driscoll of backing a $42 million tax hike in the Town of Hempstead in mailers sent to voters, her opponent said.
Republicans hold few competitive seats in New York, which makes each district a possibly critical pickup to expand the slim House majority.
The race was widely viewed as a referendum on Donald Trump. It was also a test of the pro-Israel lobby's power.
President Donald Trump plans to highlight his record on crime and safety during a visit to a New York police academy on Friday.
EXCLUSIVE — A new memo from the National Republican Congressional Committee lays out the GOP strategy to unseat Reps. Tom Suozzi and Laura Gillen.
Patch asked Jeanine Driscoll several questions ahead of the Republican primary in New York's 4th district. Here are her responses.
Here are takeaways from primaries in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.
President Donald Trump has scored another win against a Republican rival, purging Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky’s primary and knocking out one of his most outspoken critics on Capitol Hill. Massie has been a particularly difficult thorn in Trump’s side. He pushed for the release of the Jeffrey Epstein files, opposed the war with Iran and voted against Trump’s signature tax legislation last year. He lost Tuesday to Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein following the most expensive U.S. House primary in history. He had tried to convince Republicans that they could support both himself and Trump at the same time, a proposition that has been tried unsuccessfully in other races around the country.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
L. GillenLaura Gillen
T. DarlingTaylor Darling
K. Bierria-AndersonKiana Bierria-Anderson
N. ScirettaNick ScirettaSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
