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Who will win the 2026 New York District 13 US House Democratic Primary?

Jun 27, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 16 daysLast updated: Jun 11, 2026, 10:23 PM UTC

NY-13 Democratic nominee?

$168.6K

JUN 27, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$168.6K

24h volume

$21.6K

D. Chevalier57%

A. Espaillat46%

O. Romero0%

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source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

June

TUE 23

New York 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

New York 2026 general election

Latest Insights

NY-13 Democratic nominee?

A new Data for Progress poll conducted June 3-9 shows Darializa Avila Chevalier ahead of Adriano Espaillat 39-35, and the race is drawing fresh coverage and debate attention ahead of the June 23 primary.

NY-13 Democratic nominee?

A fresh June 3-9 poll has Darializa Avila Chevalier ahead 39-35, and Adriano Espaillat’s nomination price has eased to 41%, keeping the NY-13 primary in active repricing territory ahead of June 23.

41%13%

NY-13 Democratic nominee?

11h

A fresh June 3-9 poll has Darializa Avila Chevalier ahead 39-35, and Espaillat’s yes price has eased to 49%, keeping NY-13’s June 23 primary in active repricing territory.

49%14%

News

AINews Summary

Zohran Mamdani’s endorsement of Darializa Avila Chevalier is the biggest recent development in the NY-13 Democratic primary. But the campaign has also drawn scrutiny over resurfaced deleted posts and past controversial statements. The contest remains a challenge to incumbent Adriano Espaillat ahead of the June 23 primary. The endorsement may give Avila Chevalier some boost, but the backlash around her past posts adds uncertainty. Overall, the race still appears centered on whether the challenge can gain traction against Espaillat.

Articles

NYNew York Post1 day ago

Mamdani claims he never saw vile, anti-American posts from DSA House candidate he endorsed

Mayor Zohran Mamdani on Wednesday claimed he never saw the mountain of vile social media posts from fellow DSA member Darializa Avila Chevalier -- before he endorsed her insurgent bid for Congress

NYNew York Post6 days ago

Mamdani-backed NY House candidate refuses to answer for puppeting Putin's Ukraine talking points

Mayor Zohran Mamdani's new controversial candidate for the US House race, repeatedly played dumb when pressed on her prior comments, accusing US of bullying Russia in the Ukraine war — parroting a talking point from Putin.

NYNew York Post6 days ago

Mamdani-backed House hopeful Darializa Avila Chevalier echoed Putin by blaming 'bullying' US for Russian invasion of Ukraine

Far-left New York congressional hopeful Darializa Avila Chevalier – already under fire over a slew of unhinged resurfaced social media rants – appeared to blame the US for Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine in a since-deleted post.

NYNew York Post9 days ago

Mamdani stands with incendiary DSA House candidate who called US a 'f

Mayor Zohran Mamdani refused to distance himself from a controversial far-left US House candidate — despite a slew of inflammatory social media posts emerging after his endorsement.

TNThe New York Times10 days ago

Group Pledges $2 Million to Fight AIPAC in House Races

A super PAC created to counter spending from powerful pro-Israel groups will try to help Democrats critical of Israel’s wars and military actions.

CNCable News Network10 days ago

Mamdani-backed congressional candidate deleted posts calling to seize private property, abolish police, borders, prisons

Darializa Avila Chevalier, a democratic socialist congressional candidate endorsed by New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani, deleted a previous Twitter account that included thousands of posts and reposts expressing support for abolishing police, prisons and borders, as well as seizing private property and nationalizing major industries and calling into question Israel’s right to exist.

NYNew York Post4 days ago

Mamdani-backed candidate peddled crackpot COVID-19 claim pushed by Chinese communists

Candidate Darializa Avila Chevalier peddled a crackpot COVID-19 theory that said the virus originated in France – and quoted a Chinese communist propaganda organ as evidence.

TNThe New York Times14 days ago

Mamdani Gets Closer to Endorsing in Tightening Manhattan House Race

The mayor is giving serious thought to getting behind Darializa Avila Chevalier, a democratic socialist who is challenging Representative Adriano Espaillat.

NNewsBreak4 days ago

One person killed in attack in central Israel

A 35-year-old man was killed and five others injured in a series of shootings on Sunday in central Israel near the ‌occupied West Bank that police describ

SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat22 days ago

Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Massie’s loss leaves no doubt about Trump’s power over the GOP

Here are takeaways from primaries in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.

Polls

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

38.5%

33.5%

A. Espaillat

D. Chevalier

O. Romero

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Espaillat	Chevalier	Romero
Polling Average	Espaillat+5.0	38.5%	33.5%	3.0%
Data for ProgressJun 3 - 9	Chevalier+4.0	35.0%	39.0%	2.0%
Upswing ResearchMar 25 - 30	Espaillat+14.0	42.0%	28.0%	4.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Mar 31, 2026

$2M

$1.5M

$1M

$500K

A. Espaillat

D. Chevalier

O. Romero

J. Amador

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

A. EspaillatAdriano Espaillat

$1.35MContrib: $1.33M

$1.05MSpent: $696.9K

$46.5KLast period: $231.8K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

D. ChevalierDarializa Avila Chevalier

$402.9KContrib: $402.8K

$217.0KSpent: $185.8K

$12.4KLast period: $261.6K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

O. RomeroOscar Romero

$11.8KContrib: $3.2K

$1.6KSpent: $10.2K

$682Last period: $2.4K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

J. AmadorJaliel Amador

$5.7KContrib: $5.7K

$0Spent: $5.7K

$407Last period: $217

TERMINATION REPORT · Feb 27, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Endorsements

Who will win the 2026 New York District 13 US House Democratic Primary?

NY-13 Democratic nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

NY-13 Democratic nominee?

NY-13 Democratic nominee?

NY-13 Democratic nominee?

News

Mamdani claims he never saw vile, anti-American posts from DSA House candidate he endorsed

Mamdani-backed NY House candidate refuses to answer for puppeting Putin's Ukraine talking points

Mamdani-backed House hopeful Darializa Avila Chevalier echoed Putin by blaming 'bullying' US for Russian invasion of Ukraine

Mamdani stands with incendiary DSA House candidate who called US a 'f

Group Pledges $2 Million to Fight AIPAC in House Races

Mamdani-backed congressional candidate deleted posts calling to seize private property, abolish police, borders, prisons

Mamdani-backed candidate peddled crackpot COVID-19 claim pushed by Chinese communists

Mamdani Gets Closer to Endorsing in Tightening Manhattan House Race

One person killed in attack in central Israel

Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Massie’s loss leaves no doubt about Trump’s power over the GOP

Polls

Fundraising

Related races

NY-12 Democratic nominee?

New York Governor winner?

NY-10 Democratic nominee?

New York Democratic Governor nominee?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

NY-13 Democratic nominee?

NY-13 Democratic nominee?

NY-13 Democratic nominee?

News

Mamdani claims he never saw vile, anti-American posts from DSA House candidate he endorsed

Mamdani-backed NY House candidate refuses to answer for puppeting Putin's Ukraine talking points

Mamdani-backed House hopeful Darializa Avila Chevalier echoed Putin by blaming 'bullying' US for Russian invasion of Ukraine

Mamdani stands with incendiary DSA House candidate who called US a 'f

Group Pledges $2 Million to Fight AIPAC in House Races

Mamdani-backed congressional candidate deleted posts calling to seize private property, abolish police, borders, prisons

Mamdani-backed candidate peddled crackpot COVID-19 claim pushed by Chinese communists

Mamdani Gets Closer to Endorsing in Tightening Manhattan House Race

One person killed in attack in central Israel

Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Massie’s loss leaves no doubt about Trump’s power over the GOP

Polls

Fundraising

Related races

NY-12 Democratic nominee?

New York Governor winner?

NY-10 Democratic nominee?

New York Democratic Governor nominee?