$20.8K
AUG 11, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket
Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 12, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 100% | $1.07M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Wisconsin’s Aug. 11 primary has passed, but the biggest news is the close governor’s race upset that caught prediction markets off guard. That miss has renewed scrutiny of Polymarket and Kalshi as forecasting tools. There is no reported WI-04 nominee result in the provided summaries. The primary result mainly affects confidence in prediction markets, not the WI-04 nomination itself. It may make traders more cautious about relying on market odds, increasing uncertainty around pricing.
Kalshi and Polymarket gave Francesca Hong roughly a 95% chance of winning on the eve of the primary, before David Crowley’s upset.
Wisconsin heads to the polls to decide which candidates advance to the November ballot. Here's everything you need to know about voting today.
Kalshi and Polymarket gave Francesca Hong roughly a 95% chance of winning on the eve of the primary, before David Crowley’s upset.
Here's a look at the races on the ballot in the Wisconsin primary election today.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
G. MooreGwen Moore
A. DonahueAmy DonahueSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
