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JUN 3, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Jose Orozco is now leading the NM-02 Republican nominee race with 5% odds and a 5.0-point edge.
Republicans are preparing a major fall spending push in New Mexico's 2nd District, signaling the seat remains a top target. The race is still described as competitive, with Greg Cunningham challenging Rep. Gabe Vasquez. The news reinforces that NM-02 is a competitive target and may support Republican nominee interest. It does not provide direct evidence on the nomination race itself, so the effect on this market is limited.
The NRCC’s polling of the battleground districts shows Republicans are competitive in five Democrat-held districts that Trump won in 2024.
The GOP’s House campaign arm shared five new battleground polls with POLITICO, its first publicly released surveys this cycle.
The NRCC released polling Thursday indicating Republicans are either leading or tied in five key battleground races as the party works to expand its House majority despite traditional midterm challenges facing the party in power.
Internal polling obtained by Politico shows races where Republicans can be competitive.
A new campaign advertisement from Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton targets Sen. John Cornyn over past remarks on immigration and border security, as the May 26 Republican Senate primary runoff nears. | Politics
Both the Republican senator and the Democratic candidate made appearances in southern Maine on Friday morning, a day after the governor ended her campaign.
President Trump's recent endorsement of GOP candidate adds intrigue to race
Jose Orozco
Jose Orozco endorsed Greg Cunningham in the New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District Republican primary.
Yvette Herrell
Yvette Herrell endorsed Greg Cunningham in New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District Republican primary.
G. CunninghamGreg CunninghamJ. OrozcoJose OrozcoSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
