$6.4K
JUL 1, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Trump has publicly threatened to back a primary challenger against Lauren Boebert in Colorado's 4th District. The clash follows Boebert's support for Thomas Massie in Kentucky and has triggered backlash from MAGA-aligned accounts. Trump said he could withdraw his endorsement if a viable alternative appears. This likely adds uncertainty around Boebert's nomination prospects by signaling possible Trump-backed opposition. The effect is negative for Boebert unless the threat fades or no serious challenger emerges.
The president openly solicited contenders to primary Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-Colo.) after she campaigned for Trump-foe Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.).
Rep. Lauren Boebert, R-Colo., defended Rep. Thomas Massie, R-Ky., on Newsmax ahead of his high-profile Republican primary race, calling him a principled constitutionalist while dismissing concerns that her support for him could trigger a Trump-backed challenge against her in 2028.
President Donald Trump attacked Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-CO) for campaigning for Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY) and called for her to be primaried.
Rep. Thomas Massie has carved out a reputation as the Republican congressman willing to break with his own party, frustrate leadership, and defy pressure
"I support both of these men...if that makes you angry, bless your heart," wrote the Colorado lawmaker, despite Trump's potential wrath.
The incumbent faces a Trump-backed challenger Tuesday.
The president has endorsed retired Navy SEAL Ed Gallrein in what marks his most aggressive attempt to catapult a dissenter from the Republican Party.
President Trump calls for Rep. Thomas Massie's ouster in Kentucky's Tuesday Republican primary, using Sen. Bill Cassidy's Louisiana defeat as a warning to GOP critics.
L. BoebertLauren BoebertSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.