$8.5K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$8.5K
24h volume
$0
source: Kalshi
The biggest update is a Trump-aligned loyalty fight involving Lauren Boebert and Thomas Massie, with Boebert drawing backlash after backing both Trump and Massie. Trump also urged voters to defeat Massie in Kentucky. The Colorado-specific material is limited and does not show a direct shift in this district's race. The news is mostly indirect for Colorado's 4th and does not clearly shift the seat outlook. It may add some uncertainty around Republican factional politics, but there is no direct evidence here of a change in the district race.
The president openly solicited contenders to primary Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-Colo.) after she campaigned for Trump-foe Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.).
Voter registration data reveals where Republicans have lost, and gained, ground over the past year with Trump back in office.
Donald Trump rescinds endorsement of Republican Jeff Hurd following tariff vote, throws his support to more conservative Hope Scheppelman
Rep. Lauren Boebert, R-Colo., defended Rep. Thomas Massie, R-Ky., on Newsmax ahead of his high-profile Republican primary race, calling him a principled constitutionalist while dismissing concerns that her support for him could trigger a Trump-backed challenge against her in 2028.
Fundraising for Colorado's most-contested congressional district is in full swing, with U.S. Rep. Gabe Evans amassing a multimillion-dollar war chest as Democrats jockey in the primary to defeat him.
"I support both of these men...if that makes you angry, bless your heart," wrote the Colorado lawmaker, despite Trump's potential wrath.
The incumbent faces a Trump-backed challenger Tuesday.
The president has endorsed retired Navy SEAL Ed Gallrein in what marks his most aggressive attempt to catapult a dissenter from the Republican Party.
President Trump calls for Rep. Thomas Massie's ouster in Kentucky's Tuesday Republican primary, using Sen. Bill Cassidy's Louisiana defeat as a warning to GOP critics.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.