$2.4K
AUG 4, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 4, 2026, 10:23 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 100% | $43.3K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The Missouri MO-03 Democratic nomination race is down to Tommy Holstein and Bethany Mann, with Paul Wilson suspended but still on the ballot. The primary is being held under a new congressional map whose legal status is still unsettled. The winner will move on to the November general election. Wilson's suspension may slightly narrow the effective field, but the nomination race still appears to hinge on Holstein vs. Mann. The unresolved map adds some uncertainty around the eventual general-election district.
With less than five weeks to go until the midterm elections, Republicans face historical headwinds as the party in power and must also contend with high gas prices amid the ongoing Iran war.
COLUMBIA, Mo. (KMIZ) Two Democrats and a Republican are looking to unseat Rep. Bob Onder in Missouri’s Third Congressional District. The district covers parts of 16 counties, including the southern half of Boone County, along with Callaway, Audrain, Montgomery and Monroe counties Incumbent Onder faces a Republican primary challenge from John Fraser of Columbia. On
COLUMBIA, Mo. (KMIZ) Democratic candidate Paul T. Wilson announced Tuesday he is suspending his campaign for Missouri's 3rd Congressional district. "At the current time we have suspended our active campaign for the 2026 MO-3 congressional district," Wilson told ABC 17 News in an e-mail. "We were unable to have our name removed from the ballots
Live updates and the latest news on the Trump administration as the Federal Reserve is expected to decide whether to raise interest rates.
Kansas voters have the opportunity to break historical trends in governor and U.S. Senate races, and there are other big races at stake this election.
Democrats are leaning heavily on Iowa's economic pain to make their case against the Republicans.
These are the midterm races to watch in each state, from Alabama to Wyoming.
The day's schedule will end with the first appearance from Vice President JD Vance and another set of remarks from President Donald Trump.
Follow live coverage as Republicans kick off the first-ever midterm primary convention on September 9 and 10 in Dallas, Texas, with speeches expected from Trump on both days.
Michigan will offer the country its clearest gauge yet on the direction of the Democratic Party, as primary voters in the battleground state choose between a progressive standard-bearer and an establishment-backed candidate.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
B. MannBethany E Mann
T. HolsteinTommy Holstein
P. WilsonPaul T WilsonSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
