$15.0K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 18, 2026, 11:53 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 97% | $8.12M | |
| 2% | $138.1K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Hickenlooper won the Democratic primary and will face Republican Mark Baisley in November. New filings show nearly $500,000 in outside spending helped support Hickenlooper before his narrow win. The general election matchup is now set. Hickenlooper’s primary win removes nomination uncertainty and likely reinforces Democrats’ hold on the seat. The donor-backed spending may be seen as a modest positive for his general-election prospects, though the race remains open.
Lisa McClain calls Abdul El-Sayed a socialist or "full-blown communist" after his Michigan Senate primary upset over Haley Stevens, citing his Medicare for All platform.
Democratic voters across several US states cast their ballots Tuesday in another test of whether the party's anti-establishment left can extend a run of
Abdul El-Sayed won Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary over Rep. Haley Stevens, establishing a Midwest beachhead for the progressive left.
Tom Emmer argues socialists like Abdul El-Sayed and Zohran Mamdani are selling Americans false promises as the far left gains ground in primaries.
Republicans maintain a narrow House majority, controlling 218 seats, while Democrats hold 212.
Democratic socialists have increased their political clout over the past decade, winning more races for public office while becoming more influential within the Democratic Party — much like MAGA-aligned candidates have done within the GOP. Republicans and even some Democrats, however, point to the most extreme aspects of the democratic
The irony is that Democrats’ infighting only boosts Republicans’ chances of winning critical battleground races this year.
Gov. Gavin Newsom reiterated past remarks that Democrats nationwide need to be more pugnacious as the party casts about for a replacement to Maine Senate candidate Graham Platner, who dropped out Wednesday after an ex-girlfriend accused him of sexual assault.
Attorney General Phil Weiser defeated U.S. Sen. Michael Bennet by 13 percentage points amid anti-incumbent sentiment among Colorado voters. Here's how he won.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
J. HickenlooperJohn Hickenlooper
M. BaisleyMark BaisleySource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
