$35.0K
JUN 10, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
James Settelmeyer's odds are down 42.0 points and are now at 14% over a 3-day streak.
Fresh reporting on Jesse Watts suspending his bid and backing James Settelmeyer has not reversed the market, which still prices David Flippo around 88%, keeping the nominee race heavily tilted toward Flippo.
David Flippo’s Republican nominee odds in Nevada’s 2nd District are now 86%, extending the post-endorsement repricing and leaving James Settelmeyer at 17%. That sharp gap matters for traders because it suggests the market has moved from a volatile two-way race to a heavily favored Flippo outcome ahead of the June 9 primary.
There are no direct updates on the Nevada 2nd congressional district Republican nominee race in the provided news. The only Nevada-related item is a broader piece about election denial and election administration concerns ahead of the 2026 midterms. The rest of the summaries are about other states and races. No clear market-moving information for this nomination race is provided. Odds and uncertainty appear unchanged based on the available summaries.
From searching for solutions to predatory wolves to defending his role in the controversial Point Reyes settlement, Huffman is toiling to earn an 8th term in Congress, representing a revamped district.
Across the Sun Belt, an economic populist message is outpolling conventional centrism
History shows us that efforts by election deniers who dared to sabotage our free and democratic elections were not isolated occurrences.
At least one candidate has admitted his statewide referendum targeting trans kids is intended to drive GOP voter turnout.
Iowa is one of a dozen states competing for early calendar spots, and Democrats will emphasize Iowa's role in winning back rural voters.
By Alexandra Banner, CNN A passenger on a Delta Air Lines flight from Atlanta to Portland recently gave birth mid-air to a healthy baby girl, with two paramedics on board assisting with makeshift tools. It just goes to show that even in an era of chronic flight delays, some arrivals still come ahead of schedule.
House Republicans are targeting 28 vulnerable Democrats with Tax Day ads, accusing them of voting against GOP tax cuts signed by President Donald Trump last year.
Your morning catch-up: Voter guide to California's primary election, the last California-bound oil tanker arrives in Long Beach and more big stories
The neck-and-neck Nevada governor’s race is shaping up as one of the earliest tests of whether Republicans can separate themselves from Trump’s political fortunes — without losing his coalition.
D. FlippoDavid FlippoJ. SettelmeyerJames Settelmeyer
G. ForbushGeorge Forbush
A. LoweAndrea LoweSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
