$3.1K
JUN 3, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
There is no direct reporting here on the NJ-03 Republican nomination contest. The only election-relevant backdrop is a broader pattern of Democratic overperformance in recent special elections. Other items are about unrelated Democratic primaries or House politics. No direct update for this market. The broader Democratic overperformance trend may slightly shape expectations for the general environment, but it does not clearly move the Republican nomination race.
An unprecedented gerrymandering effort led by Donald Trump—and internal divisions among Democrats—has made the Minority Leader’s path to victory harder than ever, Jason Zengerle reports.
Sen. Bernie Sanders is leading a coalition of Democratic senators pushing for the party’s leaders to require candidates to swear off billionaire- and corporate-backed super PACs, or political action committees, in this year’s primary elections.Sens. Jeff Merkley (D-Ore.), Tina Smith (D-Minn.), Eliza...
POLITICO’s analysis shows a clear trend in red and blue districts alike.
Groups linked to the American Israel Public Affairs Committee are hoping to defeat progressives who are judged insufficiently loyal to Israel. Their targets are disproportionately Black and brown.
J. CullenJason Cullen
M. McGuireMichael McGuireSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
