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Who will win the 2026 New York District 21 US House Republican Primary first round?

Jun 27, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 27 daysLast updated: May 31, 2026, 4:23 PM UTC

NY-21 Republican nominee?

$5.6K

JUN 27, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

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Total volume

$5.6K

24h volume

$96

A. Constantino77%

R. Smullen21%

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source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

June

TUE 23

New York 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

New York 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Anthony Constantino

24H85%

Donald Trump backed Anthony Constantino for the NY-21 Republican nominee race, and Constantino is currently at 85%.

11d

Anthony Constantino

24H86%

Anthony Constantino is the candidate in "NY-21 Republican nominee?", and Donald Trump is the endorser named in the endorsement.

23d

Anthony Constantino

24H83%

Anthony Constantino is the candidate in "NY-21 Republican nominee?", and Donald Trump backed him in the endorsement.

23d

News

AINews Summary

The GOP nomination fight in New York's 21st District remains a contest between Anthony Constantino and Robert Smullen. Constantino has Trump's backing, while Smullen has establishment support and the Conservative Party line. Both sides are pointing to polling, and a funds dispute around Constantino adds noise to the race. Trump's endorsement likely supports Constantino, but the race still looks competitive with Smullen backed by much of the party establishment. The polling claims and campaign dispute keep uncertainty elevated.

Articles

NNewsmax1 month ago

N.Y. GOP Won't Back Trump Pick to Replace Stefanik

In the Republican primary to replace Rep. Elise Stefanik, President Donald Trump has endorsed one candidate, while New York Republicans are backing another in the deep-red 21st Congressional District.

BNBreitbart News Network28 days ago

Democrats Have 'Poisoned the Minds of Citizens'

Anthony Constantino, a Republican running for Congress in New York, said Democrats have poisoned the minds of citizens by injecting hate.

NNewsmax1 month ago

NY GOP Won't Back Trump Pick to Replace Stefanik

In the Republican primary to fill Rep. Elise Stefanik's seat, President Donald Trump has endorsed one candidate.

FBFox Business1 month ago

Sticker Mule demands Google fix 'mislabeled' ads tied to political campaign

Sticker Mule says Google mislabeled its commercial ads as funded by CEO Anthony Constantino's congressional campaign, calling the error misleading and demanding a permanent fix.

TNThe New Yorker13 days ago

Can Hakeem Jeffries Lead a Democratic Takeover of the House?

An unprecedented gerrymandering effort led by Donald Trump—and internal divisions among Democrats—has made the Minority Leader’s path to victory harder than ever, Jason Zengerle reports.

TPThe Philadelphia Inquirer19 days ago

GOP canceling elections? It’s already happening. | Will Bunch Newsletter

Plus, why college kids are booing, loudly, against AI.

WEWashington Examiner26 days ago

Trump seeks electoral revenge on Indiana lawmakers who vetoed new map

Eight state Republicans who voted against gerrymandering Indiana's map are seeking reelection in Tuesday's primary.

Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Mar 31, 2026

$10M

$7.5M

$5M

$2.5M

A. Constantino

R. Smullen

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

A. ConstantinoAnthony Constantino

$5.03MContrib: $0

$3.52MSpent: $3.82M

$254.9KLast period: $0

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

R. SmullenRobert Smullen

$1.18MContrib: $171.9K

$964.0KSpent: $213.5K

$14.2KLast period: $158.8K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Polls
Endorsements

Who will win the 2026 New York District 21 US House Republican Primary first round?

NY-21 Republican nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Anthony Constantino

Anthony Constantino

Anthony Constantino

News

N.Y. GOP Won't Back Trump Pick to Replace Stefanik

Democrats Have 'Poisoned the Minds of Citizens'

NY GOP Won't Back Trump Pick to Replace Stefanik

Sticker Mule demands Google fix 'mislabeled' ads tied to political campaign

Can Hakeem Jeffries Lead a Democratic Takeover of the House?

GOP canceling elections? It’s already happening. | Will Bunch Newsletter

Trump seeks electoral revenge on Indiana lawmakers who vetoed new map

Fundraising

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Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Anthony Constantino

Anthony Constantino

Anthony Constantino

News

N.Y. GOP Won't Back Trump Pick to Replace Stefanik

Democrats Have 'Poisoned the Minds of Citizens'

NY GOP Won't Back Trump Pick to Replace Stefanik

Sticker Mule demands Google fix 'mislabeled' ads tied to political campaign

Can Hakeem Jeffries Lead a Democratic Takeover of the House?

GOP canceling elections? It’s already happening. | Will Bunch Newsletter

Trump seeks electoral revenge on Indiana lawmakers who vetoed new map

Fundraising

Related races

NY-12 Democratic nominee?

New York Governor winner?

New York Democratic Governor nominee?

NY-07 Democratic nominee?