$4.3K
AUG 4, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 4, 2026, 10:23 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 100% | $591 |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Elaine Luria is running for the Democratic nomination in Virginia's 2nd Congressional District. Recent coverage also says VA-02 is shaping up as a closely contested House race, with Jen Kiggans expected to be the Republican incumbent in a likely rematch. The new map may make the district more competitive for Democrats. Luria's entry gives the Democratic side a clearer named contender, but the nomination race is still unresolved. The broader district outlook appears competitive, which may keep market uncertainty elevated.
Joe Manchin called Chuck Schumer "crazy" for trying to unseat Susan Collins as he joined the Maine Republican senator on the campaign trail ahead of midterm elections.
Voters across the country will decide which party controls the House as a handful of closely watched races shape the 2026 midterm elections.
A strong majority of voters believes President Donald Trump is falling short at home and abroad, and they want major change in the upcoming midterm elections, according to a new AP-NORC poll that raises serious warning signs for the Republican Party as voters turn out for the Nov. 3 elections.
Two endangered Republican incumbents will face off in a fight for political survival in the June 2 primary in California's 40th Congressional District.
Rising speculation about Moore's possible 2028 aspirations will have pundits eyeing how he hits the campaign trail in the midterm elections.
The University of Virginia-based prediction site moved 13 forecasts in Democrats’ direction nationally.
It is Primary Election Day in Virginia. The midterms in Virginia could help to shape the balance of power in Congress.
Newsweek analyzed polling, election data and insights from Republican and Democratic strategists to rank key House battlegrounds.
The office did not provide any additional details about the South Carolina Republican, who was 71 years old.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
J. OsyfJames Osyf
M. StricklerMatt Strickler
N. DevanathNila Devanath
P. MosolfPatrick Mosolf
N. SleisterNicolaus Sleister
E. LuriaElaine LuriaSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
