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AUG 5, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Elaine Luria's odds are now 92%, above the previous high of 84% over the last 60 days.
Fresh reporting about Rep. Jen Kiggans facing Democratic calls to resign adds a new top-line news hook in a lean-Democratic district where Elaine Luria remains the clear market favorite at 82%. That makes the race more trader-relevant even though the Democratic nominee markets have not moved yet.
The biggest development is that VA-02’s Democratic primary remains unsettled because the district lines are still in flux. Elaine Luria is in the race, and the final map could affect how favorable the seat looks for Democrats. The redistricting uncertainty keeps the nomination race and general-election outlook fluid. Luria’s entry may strengthen her profile, but the overall effect on the market is still unclear.
Get live updates and the latest news as Trump arrives in China for his summit with Xi Jinping and the Nebraska 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary remains too close to call.
Two endangered Republican incumbents will face off in a fight for political survival in the June 2 primary in California's 40th Congressional District.
WASHINGTON (AP) — Idaho voters will nominate candidates for federal, state and local offices in a state primary Tuesday.
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Idaho voters will nominate candidates for federal, state and local offices in a state primary. The contests on Tuesday will set the stage for the November general election, when Republicans will count on big wins in Idaho to help keep control of the U.S.
As the Supreme Court of Virginia weighs whether to uphold the redistricting referendum that would allow the General Assembly to redraw congressional maps mid-decade, candidates in the 2nd District are gearing up for what could be familiar contest.
A slew of incumbents are out, making room for fresh faces.
These political candidates got caught red-handed.
Prediction market platform Kalshi announced Wednesday that it has suspended three congressional candidates and imposed financial penalties after they were caught trading on their own election campaigns in violation of the platform's rules.
J. OsyfJames Osyf
M. StricklerMatt Strickler
N. DevanathNila Devanath
P. MosolfPatrick Mosolf
N. SleisterNicolaus SleisterE. LuriaElaine LuriaSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.