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2026 Virginia House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 Virginia House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Election Day: Nov 3, 2026Market closes: Nov 6, 11:59pm ET (Nov 7, 4:59am UTC)

VA-01 House winner?

$46.2K

NOV 3, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

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Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated Sep 10, 2026, 3:53 AM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Poll average	Funds raised
Rob Wittman	54%	43.5%	$4.05M
Shannon Leigh Taylor	42%	41.0%	$2.14M

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 10, 2026, 3:53 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$46.2K

24h volume

R. Wittman54%

S. Taylor42%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Virginia 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Race Updates

Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.

VA-01 House winner?

Rob Wittman's odds are up 10.0 points over a 3-day streak and are now 57%.

57%10%

VA-01 House winner?

Rob Wittman is now at 52%, with a 4.0-point lead after trailing earlier.

52%

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Republican Rep. Rob Wittman is seeking reelection in Virginia's 1st District against Democrat Shannon Taylor. The seat is described as slightly Republican but competitive. SNAP cuts have become an early campaign issue, with both sides using it to sharpen their case. The district’s slight Republican lean may give Republicans a modest edge, but the competitive framing and SNAP debate keep the race from looking settled. The news is mixed and does not point to a clear shift.

Articles

UTUSA TODAY1 day ago

Dems, GOP go with safer bets in NH Senate primaries: 3 takeaways

Republicans are eyeing New Hampshire as a possible Senate pickup in the 2026 primary elections.

CCCincinnati Cincinnati Enquirer5 days ago

Candidates, races and ballot issues

Ohio voters will decide races for governor, US Senate and other statewide offices in 2026. Some congressional races could be key to control of Congress.

RTRichmond Times-Dispatch4 days ago

Virginia’s 2nd District could decide House control

Virginia’s closely watched 2nd Congressional District race between Republican Jen Kiggans and Democrat Elaine Luria could help decide control of the U.S. House, with rising energy prices, military discontent and

NNewsmax3 months ago

Rep. Miller-Meeks to Newsmax: Iowa Voters Will Reject Dems' Push

They're out for bear, the Iowa Republican said on Newsmax's Wake Up America. They've had major losses, and now they want to swing for the fences. But our supporters will be energized and motivated, too.

NVNorfolk Virginian-Pilot8 days ago

SNAP cuts are coming up on Virginia's 1st District campaign trail

Republican incumbent Rep. Rob Wittman and Democratic challenger Shannon Taylor, who are running in Virginia's 1st Congressional District, sparred on social media over federal cuts to SNAP.

WTWorcester Telegram & Gazette9 days ago

Massachusetts voters head to polls today. Follow live updates

Key races to watch include the face off between Sen. Ed Markey and Rep. Seth Moulton for the Democrate Senate nomination and what will happen with Moulton's empty seat.

UNUPI News1 month ago

Sayed, Rep. Haley Stevens face off in Michigan Senate primary

The Democratic primary for Michigan's Senate seat between Abdul El-Sayed and Rep. Haley Stevens is just one of Tuesday's key races to watch.

WWJLA1 month ago

POLLS OPEN: What you need to know for Virginia's Primary Election Day

It is Primary Election Day in Virginia. The midterms in Virginia could help to shape the balance of power in Congress.

NNewsweek1 month ago

10 Seats Democrats Could Flip in 2026-And What Polls Say

Newsweek analyzed polling, election data and insights from Republican and Democratic strategists to rank key House battlegrounds.

NNNBC News3 months ago

Where the redistricting fight stands heading into the midterms

After 10 states enacted new congressional maps, Republicans are in position to gain up to 16 seats this fall, compared with six for the Democrats, as the parties vie for control of the House.

Latest Polls

Polling results and averages based on polls published between Aug 8, 2025 and Mar 12, 2026.

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

43.5%

41%

R. Wittman

S. Taylor

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Wittman	Taylor
Polling Average	Wittman+2.5	43.5%	41.0%
Ragnar Research PartnersMar 10 - 12	Wittman+4.0	46.0%	42.0%
Public Policy PollingAug 8 - 9	Wittman+1.0	41.0%	40.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Jul 15, 2026

$5M

$3.8M

$2.5M

$1.3M

R. Wittman

S. Taylor

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

R. WittmanRob Wittman

$4.05MContrib: $2.61M

$4.29MSpent: $1.14M

$59.8KLast period: $36.6K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 15, 2026

S. TaylorShannon Leigh Taylor

$2.14MContrib: $2.03M

$1.00MSpent: $1.14M

$59.8KLast period: $72.2K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 15, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Endorsements

2026 Virginia House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

VA-01 House winner?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

VA-01 House winner?

VA-01 House winner?

Latest Election News

Dems, GOP go with safer bets in NH Senate primaries: 3 takeaways

Candidates, races and ballot issues

Virginia’s 2nd District could decide House control

Rep. Miller-Meeks to Newsmax: Iowa Voters Will Reject Dems' Push

SNAP cuts are coming up on Virginia's 1st District campaign trail

Massachusetts voters head to polls today. Follow live updates

Sayed, Rep. Haley Stevens face off in Michigan Senate primary

POLLS OPEN: What you need to know for Virginia's Primary Election Day

10 Seats Democrats Could Flip in 2026-And What Polls Say

Where the redistricting fight stands heading into the midterms

Latest Polls

Campaign Fundraising

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Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

VA-01 House winner?

VA-01 House winner?

Latest Election News

Dems, GOP go with safer bets in NH Senate primaries: 3 takeaways

Candidates, races and ballot issues

Virginia’s 2nd District could decide House control

Rep. Miller-Meeks to Newsmax: Iowa Voters Will Reject Dems' Push

SNAP cuts are coming up on Virginia's 1st District campaign trail

Massachusetts voters head to polls today. Follow live updates

Sayed, Rep. Haley Stevens face off in Michigan Senate primary

POLLS OPEN: What you need to know for Virginia's Primary Election Day

10 Seats Democrats Could Flip in 2026-And What Polls Say

Where the redistricting fight stands heading into the midterms

Latest Polls

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

VA-02 House winner?

VA-06 House winner?

VA-05 House winner?

Virginia Senate winner?