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NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 3, 2026, 6:28 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
|---|---|
| 96% | |
| 5% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Independent John Stegner is now on the Idaho governor ballot and has launched his campaign. Gov. Brad Little also reported a much larger fundraising total, while recent coverage continues to frame Idaho as a strongly Republican state. Little’s fundraising edge and Idaho’s Republican lean likely keep the GOP favored. Stegner’s ballot access adds a third option, but the overall market picture still appears tilted toward Republicans.
Two challengers running for Idaho governor differ on vote-splitting possibilities
Follow the latest Trump administration news and primary coverage as election races unfold in New Jersey, California, Iowa and other states.
They have been backing independent Senate candidates in red states. But Montana is not working as planned.
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The president’s favored candidates scored decisive victories while his opponents were soundly rejected by Republican primary voters. But whether that amounts to wins in November remains to be seen.
Tuesday’s election results gave Trump revenge on Representative Thomas Massie — but the primary may haunt the GOP. As the president focused on taking down several Republican foes, Democrats got some good news for Democrats.
By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
Even if the 2027 Legislature signs on, the $20 million would get carved up quickly
Michigan’s primary races will test the Democratic Party’s deepest divisions.
Independent challenger to Little handily gleaned sufficient signatures, he said
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
