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NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 10, 2026, 12:23 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
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The provided news does not include any developments in Indiana's 4th congressional district. Most of the recent coverage is about other states and other races. There is no race-specific update here to move this market. No clear market impact for this Indiana House race can be inferred from the provided news. The updates appear unrelated, so they should not materially change odds here.
In today’s edition, we take stock of President Donald Trump’s retribution campaign this month as Ken Paxton and James Talarico look ahead to the general election in Texas.
Former Navy SEAL Ed Gallrein has won the Republican primary in Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District over Rep. Thomas Massie.
The Kentucky primary pits Massie, one of the most conservative members of Congress, against Trump and many wealthy donors.
Tuesday is the last day to vote in the primary runoff featuring highly touted races for U.S. Senate, U.S. House 19 and local races in Lubbock County.
Trump touted a 37-0 record in Tuesday's GOP primaries, including Ed Gallrein's ouster of Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky's closely watched congressional race.
By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
President Donald Trump is trying to oust one of his own party’s most independent voices: Kentucky Congressman Thomas Massie.
President Donald Trump and allies target Sen. Bill Cassidy and Rep. Thomas Massie in upcoming GOP primaries after Trump-backed challengers won five Indiana state Senate races.
So far, his chosen candidates in several May primaries are struggling to dominate their fields.
Democrats aren’t the only party that has to appeal to moderates. But the GOP doesn't seem interested.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
J. BairdJim Baird
D. CoxDrew CoxSource: FEC
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