Indiana Secretary of State winner?
1dButtigieg’s endorsement gives Bayh a new high-profile boost in a race where the Democrat is already narrowly ahead in the market, making the November matchup worth a fresh repricing watch.
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 57% | $332.0K | |
| 49% | — |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.
Buttigieg’s endorsement gives Bayh a new high-profile boost in a race where the Democrat is already narrowly ahead in the market, making the November matchup worth a fresh repricing watch.
Max Engling is now leading with 51% odds, ahead by 6.0 points after the lead changed hands.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Indiana Republicans have replaced incumbent Diego Morales with Max Engling as their Secretary of State nominee. Engling won the state convention on the second ballot. The general election field now includes Democrat Beau Bayh, Libertarian Lauri Shillings, and a possible independent bid by Greg Ballard. The GOP nomination change is the biggest market-moving development and could shift Republican odds depending on Engling’s general-election strength. The added third-party and possible independent candidates may also add some uncertainty.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
B. BayhBeau BayhSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.