$9.6K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 23, 2026, 1:58 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 92% | $1.17M | |
| 8% | $294.5K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
A new battleground analysis says several House races have moved toward Democrats, though Republicans still have a narrow structural advantage. The broader Democratic message and strategy debate remains unsettled after criticism of the party’s 2024 autopsy. The latest analysis slightly improves Democratic sentiment in the broader House market, but the overall picture remains mixed and Republicans still have a narrow edge.
WASHINGTON — Another month, and another batch of rating changes that benefit Democrats. But the House Republican majority is not lost yet, according to a district-by-district analysis of the House battleground. With less than five months to go, the fundamentals of midterm elections continue to favor Democrats. President Donald Trump’s job rating is underwater at 39% approve and 58% disapprove, ...
A slew of incumbents are out, making room for fresh faces.
There's a crowded Republican primary this year of candidates hoping to unseat incumbent Cincinnati Democratic Rep. Greg Landsman.
Ohio gubernatorial hopeful Vivek Ramaswamy has proposed consolidating the state’s universities to promote excellence, but he might find that is more difficult than he envisions.
Pete Hegseth stumped for Ed Gallrein in Kentucky on May 18, less than 24 hours before polls opened for the state's primary election.
Here are some of the most-read stories from the week of Sunday, Sept. 20.
Focused on messaging and ad spend, the autopsy ignores Democrats' real problem: their platform
The Kentucky rumble over Rep. Thomas Massie's seat in Congress is the most expensive House primary race in US history, with tens of millions of dollars spent on political advertisements and President Trump demanding that the libertarian-minded Republican be beaten.
One of President Donald Trump’s most vocal critics within the Republican Party faces a tough primary challenge in Kentucky’s state primary. U.S. Rep.
One of President Donald Trump’s most vocal critics within the Republican Party faces a tough primary challenge in Kentucky’s state primary.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
M. MessmerMark Messmer
M. AllenMary AllenSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
