$153.2K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 23, 2026, 4:28 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95% | 49.0% | — | |
| 6% | 39.0% | $1.10M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Charles Booker has locked up the Democratic nomination for Kentucky’s 2026 Senate race. On the Republican side, Andy Barr and Daniel Cameron are still competing for the nomination, after Nate Morris dropped out. Trump’s endorsement of Barr and his role in Morris’s exit remain notable factors. Booker’s nomination clarifies the Democratic side, but the race still hinges on the Republican nominee. The GOP contest remains the main source of uncertainty, with Trump’s involvement potentially shaping the eventual matchup.
The senator’s allies claim to have spoken to him, but he has not been seen by the public in two full months.
In today’s edition, we take stock of President Donald Trump’s retribution campaign this month as Ken Paxton and James Talarico look ahead to the general election in Texas.
Texas Republicans chose a candidate who embodies something essential about the party under Trump.
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton is touting President Trump's endorsement ahead of his Republican primary runoff against Sen. John Cornyn.
“His disloyalty to the man who got him elected is now a part of legend, and it’s nice to see that his political career is OVER!”
Kentucky’s Republican Senate primary to replace Sen. Mitch McConnell is becoming a test of the party’s transformation under President Trump.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Dec 18, 2025 and Aug 27, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
C. BookerCharles BookerSource: FEC
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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
