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Kentucky’s May 19 primary is being framed as the key contest to pick Mitch McConnell’s successor in the U.S. Senate. The state’s closed primary and the April 20 registration deadline put extra focus on who can turn out Republican voters. Separately, Rand Paul is campaigning for Rep. Thomas Massie in a GOP primary seen as a test of Paul’s influence. With the GOP primary framed as decisive for the Senate seat, market attention may shift toward which Republican emerges, rather than party control. Closed-primary dynamics could add some uncertainty around turnout and the nominee.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
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