State Lean
Strong Republican
Not a core swing state
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 Kentucky Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
Kentucky Senate winner?
$511.9K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 96% | 49.0% | — | |
| 4% | 39.0% | $1.10M |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$511.9K
24h volume
$164.3K
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Kentucky · US Senate
Strong RepublicanOpen seatNot a core swing state
Primary System
Party primary or state-specific
No primary runoff
Election Rules
Primary May 19, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Early voting
No-excuse early voting generally runs from five days before Election Day through the Saturday before Election Day.
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · U.S. Senate, Class II senators · U.S. Senate, current senator list · 270toWin/Cook · NCSL
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
Charles Booker has locked up the Democratic nomination for Kentucky’s 2026 Senate race. On the Republican side, Andy Barr and Daniel Cameron are still competing for the nomination, after Nate Morris dropped out. Trump’s endorsement of Barr and his role in Morris’s exit remain notable factors. Booker’s nomination clarifies the Democratic side, but the race still hinges on the Republican nominee. The GOP contest remains the main source of uncertainty, with Trump’s involvement potentially shaping the eventual matchup.
Articles
UNU.S. News & World Report2 days ago
The Latest: Democrat Who Lost Michigan Senate Primary Backs Republican in General Election Contest
Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed’s former opponent in the U.S. Senate primary, Haley Stevens, stunned party officials on Sunday by endorsing Republican Mike Rogers in the general election contest after Democratic tensions boiled over. The move came after Stevens was uninvited to a joint event the same day with El-Sayed as he campaigned for the Michigan seat. The outcome could help determine the balance of power on Capitol Hill.
WWTOP4 days ago
AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Kentucky on Election Day
WASHINGTON (AP) — Kentucky voters will elect leaders for federal, state and other offices on Tuesday. Here are some of the key facts about the election and data
CCCincinnati Cincinnati Enquirer8 days ago
These industries are backing Kentucky's congressional candidates
See how much Kentucky's congressional candidates have raised and which industries are funding their campaigns ahead of the election.
TDThe Daily Beast3 months ago
Republicans Called Out for ‘Lies’ Over Missing Mitch McConnell
The senator’s allies claim to have spoken to him, but he has not been seen by the public in two full months.
NNNBC News5 months ago
Trump’s May primary scorecard: From the Politics Desk
In today’s edition, we take stock of President Donald Trump’s retribution campaign this month as Ken Paxton and James Talarico look ahead to the general election in Texas.
MJMother Jones5 months ago
They’re All Ken Paxton Now
Texas Republicans chose a candidate who embodies something essential about the party under Trump.
SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press6 months ago
Paxton makes final pitch in Texas US Senate race against Cornyn
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton is touting President Trump's endorsement ahead of his Republican primary runoff against Sen. John Cornyn.
SIStaten Island Advance6 months ago
Trump tightens grip on GOP with ‘disloyal’ Republican senator’s stunning defeat
“His disloyalty to the man who got him elected is now a part of legend, and it’s nice to see that his political career is OVER!”
BSBaltimore Sun6 months ago
KY Republicans race to replace McConnell and keep him at arm’s length
Kentucky’s Republican Senate primary to replace Sen. Mitch McConnell is becoming a test of the party’s transformation under President Trump.
Latest Polls
Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
49%
39%
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jun 30, 2026$2M
$1.5M
$1M
$500K
$0
C. Booker
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
C. BookerCharles Booker$1.10MContrib: $1.10M
$309.6KSpent: $789.9K
$43.9KLast period: $588.9K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
Source: FEC
Related Races
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
Kentucky Senate winner?
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Kentucky?
Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 2:51 AM UTC
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Kentucky?
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 2:51 AM UTC