$17.7K
SEP 8, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 17, 2026, 7:23 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 26.6% | $2.21M | |
| 22% | 9.2% | $3.33M | |
| 1% | 2.2% | $506.4K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
New Hampshire’s filing period has closed, locking in the candidate field for the 2026 cycle. The latest reporting does not name an official Democratic nominee for this district. A new vacancy-filling window could still affect the ballot if needed. The filing deadline may reduce uncertainty, but the provided news does not show a clear frontrunner change for this nomination. Market odds likely stay driven by existing candidate positioning rather than this update.
This year’s US Senate primary has largely hummed to at a lower wattage despite some signs it’s starting to heat up.
President Donald Trump on Tuesday endorsed Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton in his primary challenge to Sen. John Cornyn, dealing a massive blow to the incumbent with major implications in the fight for the Senate majority.
Elections fought across America may be decided in far fewer places than the national map suggests, a Newsweek analysis has found.
The clock on the wall inside the secretary of state’s office said 4:57 p.m.: Three minutes until the deadline for federal, state, and county candidates to file for this fall’s midterm elections in New Hampshire.
Utah leaders launch investigation into Utah Supreme Court Justice. Candidates face allegations of fraud and bigotry. UVU drops commencement speaker.
Shaheen served until recently as chief strategy officer for Kamen’s nonprofit Advanced Regenerative Manufacturing Institute.
The current Supreme Court seems completely comfortable that we might return to the days in which states create winner-take-all congressional delegations.
Newsweek’s tracker will be updated regularly as new polls, market odds, fundraising data, and race ratings are released.
The founder of Segway has longstanding ties with the Sununu and Shaheen families — and, we now know, Jeffrey Epstein.
The National Republican Senatorial Committee is targeting five Democratic Senate nominees over hypocritical actions on corruption.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Aug 26, 2025 and Jun 25, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
M. SullivanMaura SullivanS. ShaheenStefany ShaheenC. BeriontCarleigh BeriontSource: FEC
