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SEP 9, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Recent polling shows Kelly Ayotte ahead of Cinde Warmington in the New Hampshire governor race, with a notable share still undecided. Separate coverage says New Hampshire remains part of the broader fight over state legislative control and redistricting. The Democratic nomination market itself has little direct new information. The polling data points to a Republican edge in the broader governor race, which could weigh on Democratic sentiment. The redistricting coverage is more indirect and does not clearly change the nomination market.
Voter registration data reveals where Republicans have lost, and gained, ground over the past year with Trump back in office.
Governor Kelly Ayotte is maintaining her lead over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington in the New Hampshire governor's race, according to polling data released Thursday by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.
Republicans currently hold a slim margin in governorships nationwide.
"The reality is that Democrats are consumed by infighting, factional warfare, and competing agendas," the RNC said.
A coast-to-coast sprint of partisan one-upmanship in which eight states have redrawn their congressional districts since last summer is likely to escalate next year.
In 2026, Democrats have flipped five state seats, with the two most recent secured Tuesday night in Republican stronghold Florida.
Sen. Markwayne Mullin is facing the Senate Homeland Security Committee in his confirmation hearing to replace Kristi Noem as head of DHS.
Maine’s U.S. Senate race is expected to be among the most competitive of the 2026 midterm elections.
In a college library lined with volumes on America's greatest presidents, six young men who voted for Donald Trump gathered to size up his second term. Their verdicts ranged from guarded approval to disappointment, reflecting growing tension in a key demographic.
Graham Platner leads in Maine's U.S. Senate race against Susan Collins, according to a new poll. Platner has grown his support despite controversies.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
