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source: Kalshi
September
TUE 8
New Hampshire 2026 primary
November
TUE 3
New Hampshire 2026 general election
Cinde Warmington has filed to run for New Hampshire governor, setting up a likely rematch in the Democratic nomination contest. The filing deadline is June 12 at 5 p.m., so the field may still change before the primary is set. Warmington’s entry makes the Democratic primary more concrete and could tighten attention on the nomination race. The market may see slightly more uncertainty until the field is finalized.
Incumbent Governor Dan McKee trails challenger Helena Foulkes 42 percent to 22 percent, according to a University of New Hampshire poll released Tuesday.

The new ad from 314 Action spotlights the gubernatorial candidate’s leadership of the Maine CDC during the COVID-19 pandemic.

An endorsement from President Donald Trump is worth a lot in Republican primaries.

The Maine Senate candidate Graham Platner is allegations of abusive behavior, one of his accusers says it’s worse than was reported, and Senate Democrats seem caught. Here’s all the fallout and reaction following the New York Times report.

Republican incumbent Governor Kelly Ayotte and Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington formally filed their paperwork Thursday as candidates in the New Hampshire governor's race.
Mills says she remains on Maine’s June 9 ballot after suspending her campaign, as scrutiny of Platner’s past messages reshapes the Senate primary race.

Platner's wife told aides he had sent sexually explicit text messages to multiple women shortly after they were married.

Democrats suddenly have a real shot at flipping the Senate, writes Ed Kilgore. When the midterms cycle started, the Senate looked secure for the GOP. But after many lucky breaks for Democrats, it’s now a toss-up.

Democrats gathering this weekend in South Carolina are likely to be jubilant after the failure of a GOP-led effort to redraw House districts

Voter registration data reveals where Republicans have lost, and gained, ground over the past year with Trump back in office.



| Date (Start - End) | Spread | Warmington | Kiper |
|---|---|---|---|
Polling Average | Warmington+27.0 | 40.0% | 13.0% |
Saint Anselm College Survey CenterMar 16 - 18 | Warmington+27.0 | 40.0% | 13.0% |
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New Hampshire's congressional delegation
New Hampshire's congressional delegation endorsed Cinde Warmington for governor.
More than 100 Granite State leaders
More than 100 Granite State leaders endorsed Cinde Warmington early in her campaign for governor.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
