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source: Kalshi
September
TUE 8
New Hampshire 2026 primary
November
TUE 3
New Hampshire 2026 general election
Cinde Warmington has filed to run for New Hampshire governor in 2026, setting up a likely Democratic primary rematch. She previously finished second in the 2024 primary. The filing deadline is June 12 at 5 p.m. Warmington’s entry gives the Democratic field a clearer shape and could strengthen her position as a known contender. The market impact is still limited until the filing deadline passes and the full field is set.
New allegations against Maine Senate candidate Graham Platner threaten to complicate Democrats' path to flipping the Senate.

The new ad from 314 Action spotlights the gubernatorial candidate’s leadership of the Maine CDC during the COVID-19 pandemic.

An endorsement from President Donald Trump is worth a lot in Republican primaries.

The Maine Senate candidate Graham Platner is allegations of abusive behavior, one of his accusers says it’s worse than was reported, and Senate Democrats seem caught. Here’s all the fallout and reaction following the New York Times report.

Republican incumbent Governor Kelly Ayotte and Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington formally filed their paperwork Thursday as candidates in the New Hampshire governor's race.
Mills says she remains on Maine’s June 9 ballot after suspending her campaign, as scrutiny of Platner’s past messages reshapes the Senate primary race.

Platner's wife told aides he had sent sexually explicit text messages to multiple women shortly after they were married.

Democrats suddenly have a real shot at flipping the Senate, writes Ed Kilgore. When the midterms cycle started, the Senate looked secure for the GOP. But after many lucky breaks for Democrats, it’s now a toss-up.

Democrats gathering this weekend in South Carolina are likely to be jubilant after the failure of a GOP-led effort to redraw House districts

Voter registration data reveals where Republicans have lost, and gained, ground over the past year with Trump back in office.



| Date (Start - End) | Spread | Warmington | Kiper |
|---|---|---|---|
Polling Average | Warmington+27.0 | 40.0% | 13.0% |
Saint Anselm College Survey CenterMar 16 - 18 | Warmington+27.0 | 40.0% | 13.0% |
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New Hampshire congressional delegation
New Hampshire's congressional delegation endorsed Cinde Warmington for governor.
More than 100 Granite State leaders
More than 100 Granite State leaders endorsed Cinde Warmington for governor.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.