$4.1K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 24, 2026, 9:28 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 98% | $592.0K | |
| 4% | $34.4K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The provided news does not include any developments in New Jersey's 4th congressional district. Most items cover unrelated races in other states. As a result, there is no new signal for this market from these summaries. No clear impact on this New Jersey House market from the provided news. The summaries do not add information about candidates, polling, or ballot access in NJ-4.
I take no responsibility if you lose betting on these picks.
Several other organizations still rate the district in Republicans’ favor, but say it’s close to a tossup.
We look at Gov. Josh Shapiro's campaigning moves, a hefty price tag on a Center City building, and the police commissioner ripping the DA.
Trump endorsed three NJ Republicans ahead of early voting. See who made his list and which major GOP candidate he didn't mention.
About 50 rallies were planned across the state for the fourth national day of action.
Trump has taken a carrot-and-stick approach to the midterms, promising benefits if the GOP wins and threatening cuts if they lose.
Republican Rep. Mike Lawler is facing a tough fight to hold on to his Westchester County-based congressional district in the face of growing sign of a powerful midterm Democratic blue wave that looks likely to flip the House of Representatives.
With less than five weeks to go until the midterm elections, Republicans face historical headwinds as the party in power and must also contend with high gas prices amid the ongoing Iran war.
Conley secured the Democratic nomination to face off against Lawler in one of the most competitive races of the 2026 midterms.
Not long ago, New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani was demonized by leaders of both political parties. Today, just six months after taking office, the 34-year-old democratic socialist's political strength is surging.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
C. SmithChristopher H. Smith
R. PeaceRachel PeaceSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
