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NOV 7, 2026
General Election
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source: Kalshi
Democrats are reported to hold at least 235 House seats after the 2026 midterms, pointing to a strong national result. The other updates are mostly about races in other states and do not add new information on New Jersey’s 4th district. The latest items do not provide district-specific movement for New Jersey’s 4th, so the market impact is limited. The broader House environment appears more favorable to Democrats, but that is only indirect context.
Conley secured the Democratic nomination to face off against Lawler in one of the most competitive races of the 2026 midterms.
Not long ago, New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani was demonized by leaders of both political parties. Today, just six months after taking office, the 34-year-old democratic socialist's political strength is surging.
Nevada, South Carolina and North Dakota hosted primary elections Tuesday, but much of the political world was focused on Maine’s high-stakes U.S. Senate contest. The results were never in question....
Here are some things to watch as voters in California, Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota cast ballots.
Opponents for Jeff Van Drew and Tom Kean Jr. will be decided, while 12 Democrats vie for a single seat in the 12th Congressional District.
With just weeks to go in the first round of the race to replace Nancy Pelosi in her San Francisco-based district, an iconic center of liberalism is trying to figure out what comes next.
One year after passing the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, it no longer seems like the easy win for Republicans to run on in November.
New gerrymandering efforts are part two of a mid-decade redistricting battle that already spans 10 states, which are home to two of every five U.S. residents.
The main super PAC tied to the influential American Israel Public Affairs Committee released its first ads backing Ms. Stevens, a moderate congresswoman locked in a tight three-way primary.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.