$542.00
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$542
24h volume
$0
source: Kalshi
The biggest update is a broader House analysis showing more districts moving toward Democrats, even though Republicans still have a narrow overall advantage. New Jersey’s primaries are complete, and the district-specific outlook still says Democrats are favored to hold NJ-6. The latest broad House analysis points to a modestly better Democratic environment, but the district-specific outlook still favors Democrats. That likely keeps the market leaning Democratic with limited new uncertainty.
WASHINGTON — Another month, and another batch of rating changes that benefit Democrats. But the House Republican majority is not lost yet, according to a district-by-district analysis of the House battleground. With less than five months to go, the fundamentals of midterm elections continue to favor Democrats. President Donald Trump’s job rating is underwater at 39% approve and 58% disapprove, ...
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New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.