DP14h
Democratic Party
14%24H31%Democratic Party's odds are now 31%, past the previous high of 16%.
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$16.7K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Democratic Party's odds are now 31%, past the previous high of 16%.
Democratic Party's odds are now 32%, past the previous high of 16%.
The biggest development is ongoing redistricting uncertainty in NY-11: Rep. Nicole Malliotakis has gone to the U.S. Supreme Court to try to stop a court-ordered redraw. Separately, Gov. Hochul is backing an amendment that would allow mid-decade congressional redistricting under certain conditions. On the campaign side, Richmond County Democrats endorsed Allison Ziogas for the Democratic primary. Redistricting-related court action and the proposed amendment add uncertainty around the district’s eventual lines, which could move odds as map clarity improves. The Ziogas endorsement is a concrete Democratic step but doesn’t, by itself, signal a clear shift in party win chances.
Breaking down the rumors of Gov. Mikie Sherrill's potential roles on the national stage.
Analilia Mejia is headed to Congress, filling New Jersey's 11th Congressional District seat, which had been held by Gov. Mikie Sherrill.
The endorsement comes months ahead of the primary in June.
Rep. Nicole Malliotakis asked the Supreme Court to halt a court-ordered redraw of New York's 11th district, arguing Democrats are attempting racial gerrymandering.
Rep. Nicole Malliotakis is officially asking the U.S. Supreme Court to step in and save New York’s lone Republican-held House seat from a "baseless" legal attack seeking to redraw the district at the 11th hour.
This week, Julie and Mike spar over war credibility, chaos at the Pentagon, redistricting fights, bad behavior on Capitol Hill and where New Jersey politics fit into a rapidly destabilizing national picture.
More than 200 York County voters received incorrect mail-in ballots ahead of the 2026 primary, according to the county elections office.
The New York GOP filed a petition directly to the Supreme Court for a stay on a redistricting order that jeopardizes New York City's only GOP district.
Gov. Kathy Hochul and other Albany Democrats used a landmark Supreme Court ruling to turbocharge their dream: "reforming" the state constitution's ban on partisan gerrymandering.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
