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Who will win the 2026 New York District 14 US House Republican Primary?

Jun 27, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 18 daysLast updated: Jun 9, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC

NY-14 Republican nominee?

$2.3K

JUN 27, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

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Total volume

$2.3K

24h volume

$359

D. Hysenaj98%

T. Forte2%

A. Arcabascio0%

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source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

June

TUE 23

New York 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

New York 2026 general election

Latest Insights

NY-14 Republican nominee?

Diamant Hysenaj is now at 60%, with a 46.0-point lead after trailing earlier.

60%

News

AINews Summary

Recent Supreme Court rulings have weakened voting-rights protections and fueled new redistricting battles. Separate reports say Republicans are gaining a broader map advantage ahead of the 2026 House elections. The coverage is mostly about district lines, not the NY-14 Republican nomination itself. The news is mostly about district maps, not this nomination race, so it likely has little direct effect here. Any impact is indirect and mainly adds uncertainty around the broader House environment.

Articles

ACAugusta Chronicle21 days ago

Midterm elections kick off in Georgia. Races to watch, live updates

Tuesday, May 19 is election day in Georgia as voters head to polls for the midterm primaries. Federal, state and local elections are on the ballot.

WWTOP28 days ago

Editorial Roundup: United States

Excerpts from recent editorials in the United States and abroad: ___ May 8 The Washington Post on Trump's second tariff defeat The Trump administration is…

TBThe Boston Globe26 days ago

The redistricting war and the midterm elections

We asked our three writers: Will recent court rulings on redistricting give Republicans an advantage in the midterms?

TBThe Boston Globe1 month ago

Republicans building an advantage in redistricting, but how much?

Over just the past two weeks, new court rulings and new congressional maps have put Republicans on track to add more than a dozen districts that voted for President Trump.

FPForeign Policy16 days ago

‘One man, one vote’? Maybe Not in Trump’s America

A recent Supreme Court decision threatens a core democratic principle.

Ssyracuse.com26 days ago

Supreme Court’s voting rights decision silences Black voters (Guest Opinion by Paula C. Johnson)

Conservative court completes its dismantling of the landmark 1965 Voting Rights Act, ignoring the reasons it was passed in the first place, writes Syracuse University law professor.

Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Mar 31, 2026

$1M

$750K

$500K

$250K

T. Forte

D. Hysenaj

A. Rivera-Diaz

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

T. ForteTina Forte

$742.1KContrib: $737.6K

$38.0KSpent: $786.3K

$52.4KLast period: $141.8K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

D. HysenajDiamant Hysenaj

$297.1KContrib: $288.2K

$12.9KSpent: $284.2K

$18.9KLast period: $23.4K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

A. Rivera-DiazAriel Rivera-Diaz

$1.5KContrib: $1.5K

$30Spent: $1.5K

$125Last period: $30

YEAR-END · Dec 31, 2025

Source: FEC

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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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Who will win the 2026 New York District 14 US House Republican Primary?

NY-14 Republican nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

NY-14 Republican nominee?

News

Midterm elections kick off in Georgia. Races to watch, live updates

Editorial Roundup: United States

The redistricting war and the midterm elections

Republicans building an advantage in redistricting, but how much?

‘One man, one vote’? Maybe Not in Trump’s America

Supreme Court’s voting rights decision silences Black voters (Guest Opinion by Paula C. Johnson)

Fundraising

Related races

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Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

NY-14 Republican nominee?

News

Midterm elections kick off in Georgia. Races to watch, live updates

Editorial Roundup: United States

The redistricting war and the midterm elections

Republicans building an advantage in redistricting, but how much?

‘One man, one vote’? Maybe Not in Trump’s America

Supreme Court’s voting rights decision silences Black voters (Guest Opinion by Paula C. Johnson)

Fundraising

Related races

NY-12 Democratic nominee?

New York Governor winner?

New York Democratic Governor nominee?

NY-07 Democratic nominee?