$1.56
JUN 27, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
A state elections panel affirmed Stuart Amoriell has enough valid signatures to remain on the June 23 Democratic primary ballot, removing a ballot-access risk that had been targeting one of Blake Gendebien’s main opponents. That matters because the NY-21 Democratic field is still unsettled, and ballot clarity can affect how traders handicap the nominee race.
A New York Times preview says upcoming New York congressional primaries could shape Democratic factional battles and determine who advances to the general election. But the provided summaries do not give any district-specific news for New York’s 21st, so there is no clear new signal for this market. The update adds little direct information for this race, so market odds likely stay mostly unchanged. Uncertainty remains high without district-specific polling or candidate news.
Congressional primaries in Manhattan, Brooklyn and beyond could test the strength of Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s socialist movement and reverberate across the country.
The hedge fund billionaire turned gubernatorial candidate wants to tax California’s ultrawealthy, regulate AI, and keep Silicon Valley happy at the same time. Good luck with that.
An unprecedented gerrymandering effort led by Donald Trump—and internal divisions among Democrats—has made the Minority Leader’s path to victory harder than ever, Jason Zengerle reports.
Plus, why college kids are booing, loudly, against AI.
B. GendebienBlake Gendebien
S. AmoriellStuart J Amoriell
P. CollinsPaula CollinsSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
