$8.2K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$8.2K
24h volume
$0
source: Kalshi
South Carolina lawmakers have advanced a plan to delay congressional primaries to August and reopen filing, making the SC-01 calendar and candidate field more uncertain just weeks before the June 9 primary. That kind of procedural reset can matter for traders because it changes campaign timing, spending, and the set of candidates actually on the ballot.
South Carolina lawmakers advanced a plan that could push congressional primaries from June 9 to August and reopen filing, which would materially reshape the SC-01 race calendar and candidate field if enacted.
Republican Party's odds fell below the prior low of 82% over the last 60 days.
The biggest development is the crowded Republican primary in South Carolina's 1st District, with the June 9 vote likely to decide the nominee. Mark Smith led a recent forum straw poll, and Mark Sanford has also joined the race. The district is still expected to favor Republicans, but the nominee remains unsettled. The crowded GOP primary adds uncertainty about who will emerge as the nominee. The seat still appears likely to stay Republican, but the nomination fight could shift odds within the party market.
Two weeks after the U.S. Supreme Court struck down Louisiana's congressional map, state senators on Thursday are to consider a plan that would eliminate a majority-Black district while giving Republicans a chance to win an additional seat in the November midterm elections.
Get live updates and the latest news as Trump arrives in China for his summit with Xi Jinping and the Nebraska 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary remains too close to call.
Tom Steyer, JB Pritzker, Ro Khanna, and Saikat Chakrabarti have each won some left praise. How’d they pull it off?
Excerpts from recent editorials in the United States and abroad: ___ May 8 The Washington Post on Trump's second tariff defeat The Trump administration is…
Mark Sanford returned to the campaign trail at a Dorchester County GOP meeting, testing his long-standing fiscal message as he seeks a comeback in SC’s 1st Congressional District.
WASHINGTON — Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey called for the state’s legislature to meet in special session next week to revisit their congressional map, the latest fallout from a Supreme Court ruling this week limiting the Voting Rights Act. Ivey, a Republican, on Friday said she was hopeful the state would “receive a favorable outcome” from the Supreme Court, which could weigh in on legal challenges to ...
GOP leaders have finalized who will make the cut for the upcoming Republican gubernatorial debate — a decision that could shape the race before many voters fully tune in ahead
Ten candidates for South Carolina’s first congressional district answered questions at a Republican Party forum on Thursday.
Republican Will Haynie, the mayor of Mount Pleasant, is backing Democrat Nancy Lacore in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, arguing local priorities outweigh party loyalty.
A new generation of civil rights leaders is rallying against efforts to dismantle the Voting Rights Act after a Supreme Court ruling.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
