$25.5K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 18, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
|---|---|
| 93% | |
| 7% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Alan Wilson has secured the Republican nomination for South Carolina governor after winning the runoff. He will face Democratic nominee Jermaine Johnson in November. Trump’s shifting support in the primary is notable, but the general-election matchup is now set. Wilson’s runoff win gives Republicans a clear nominee and likely reinforces GOP strength in the race. The market may see the contest as still leaning Republican, with little sign of a major shift.
Outgoing Republican Rep. Nancy Mace has launched a new YouTube show as she prepares for life after Congress.
Congresswoman is launching a YouTube show.
A series of Trump-backed candidates have lost major races as the primary season heats up.
Democratic voters across several US states cast their ballots Tuesday in another test of whether the party's anti-establishment left can extend a run of
Get live updates and the latest news on the Trump administration as voters deal upsets in Wisconsin and Minnesota governor primaries and the S.C. GOP Senate primary heads to a runoff.
With the primary season concluded, South Carolina’s gubernatorial race is coming into focus, marking the first time in nearly a decade that Gov. Henry McMaster will not appear on the ballot.
The president opted for a co-endorsement so he couldn’t lose.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jul 16, 2026 and Jul 17, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
