$30.0K
AUG 7, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Scott DesJarlais is now the front-runner at 81%, with a 79-point lead over the prior leader.
The biggest recent development is Trump-backed Ed Gallrein’s win in Kentucky’s 4th District GOP primary. AP coverage also highlights Trump’s broader influence in Republican primaries. None of the summaries report a TN-04 Republican nominee result or a Tennessee endorsement. No direct change to the TN-04 nomination market is reported. The news mainly shows Trump’s continued influence in GOP primaries, which could matter if Tennessee endorsements emerge later.
By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]
Here are takeaways from primaries in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.
President Donald Trump has scored another win against a Republican rival, purging Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky’s primary and knocking out one of his most outspoken critics on Capitol Hill. Massie has been a particularly difficult thorn in Trump’s side. He pushed for the release of the Jeffrey Epstein files, opposed the war with Iran and voted against Trump’s signature tax legislation last year. He lost Tuesday to Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein following the most expensive U.S. House primary in history. He had tried to convince Republicans that they could support both himself and Trump at the same time, a proposition that has been tried unsuccessfully in other races around the country.
A Donald Trump-backed candidate defeated longtime Kentucky Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky. Here’s which Tennessee candidates have his endorsement so far.
Alabama voters will choose nominees for U.S. Senate, governor and a full slate of state and local offices.
Alabama voters will choose nominees for U.S. Senate, governor and a full slate of state and local offices.
S. DesJarlaisScott DesJarlais
T. DavisTom DavisSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
