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Who will win the 2026 Tennessee District 4 US House Republican Primary?

Aug 7, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 30 daysLast updated: Jul 9, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC

TN-04 Republican nominee?

$31.3K

AUG 7, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$31.3K

24h volume

S. DesJarlais96%

T. Davis2%

J. James1%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

August

THU 6

Tennessee 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Tennessee 2026 general election

Latest Insights

TN-04 Republican nominee?

12d

Donald Trump backed Scott DesJarlais in the TN-04 Republican nominee race, and DesJarlais is currently at 96%.

96%

News

AINews Summary

The biggest recent primary result is Ed Gallrein’s Trump-backed win in Kentucky’s 4th District GOP primary over Rep. Thomas Massie. Other coverage highlights Trump’s continued sway in Republican primaries and ongoing redistricting delays in Alabama. None of the updates directly change the Tennessee 4th District Republican nominee race. The Kentucky result reinforces Trump-backed candidates’ strength in GOP primaries, but it does not directly change this Tennessee race. Overall, the news is only mildly informative for the market and leaves TN-04 nominee odds largely unchanged.

Articles

SPSt. Paul Pioneer Press2 months ago

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

By JONATHAN J. COOPER and STEVE PEOPLES WASHINGTON (AP) — Is there a future in politics for Republicans who cross President Donald Trump? The signs this year suggest no, and Trump has convinced his voters to defeat his adversaries again and again. The next test of the president’s power to extract retribution is on Tuesday, […]

SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat2 months ago

Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Massie’s loss leaves no doubt about Trump’s power over the GOP

Here are takeaways from primaries in Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania.

TAThe Atlanta Journal-Constitution2 months ago

Takeaways from Tuesday's primaries: Massie's loss leaves no doubt about Trump's power over the GOP

President Donald Trump has scored another win against a Republican rival, purging Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky’s primary and knocking out one of his most outspoken critics on Capitol Hill. Massie has been a particularly difficult thorn in Trump’s side. He pushed for the release of the Jeffrey Epstein files, opposed the war with Iran and voted against Trump’s signature tax legislation last year. He lost Tuesday to Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein following the most expensive U.S. House primary in history. He had tried to convince Republicans that they could support both himself and Trump at the same time, a proposition that has been tried unsuccessfully in other races around the country.

KNKnoxville News-Sentinel2 months ago

Who has Trump endorsed in Tennessee? President's pick wins KY primary

A Donald Trump-backed candidate defeated longtime Kentucky Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky. Here’s which Tennessee candidates have his endorsement so far.

WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit2 months ago

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Alabama's primaries

Alabama voters will choose nominees for U.S. Senate, governor and a full slate of state and local offices.

TAThe Associated Press2 months ago

What to expect in Alabama's primaries

Alabama voters will choose nominees for U.S. Senate, governor and a full slate of state and local offices.

NNewsBreak1 month ago

Massie positions himself for potential political future after primary defeat: 'I won't be going away silently'

After losing GOP primary to Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District, Rep. Thomas Massie indicates he's open to potenti

Endorsements

Scott DesJarlais

Donald Trump

Donald Trump endorsed Scott DesJarlais for Congress

Learn more

Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Mar 31, 2026

$500K

$375K

$250K

$125K

S. DesJarlais

T. Davis

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

S. DesJarlaisScott DesJarlais

$380.9KContrib: $380.4K

$429.9KSpent: $317.0K

$21.1KLast period: $67.3K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

T. DavisTom Davis

$9.7KContrib: $7.7K

$3.5KSpent: $8.5K

$564Last period: $1.7K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Polls

Who will win the 2026 Tennessee District 4 US House Republican Primary?

TN-04 Republican nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

TN-04 Republican nominee?

News

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Massie’s loss leaves no doubt about Trump’s power over the GOP

Takeaways from Tuesday's primaries: Massie's loss leaves no doubt about Trump's power over the GOP

Who has Trump endorsed in Tennessee? President's pick wins KY primary

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Alabama's primaries

What to expect in Alabama's primaries

Massie positions himself for potential political future after primary defeat: 'I won't be going away silently'

Endorsements

Fundraising

Related races

TN-05 Democratic nominee?

TN-04 Democratic nominee?

Tennessee Senate winner?

TN-09 Democratic nominee?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

TN-04 Republican nominee?

News

What to watch in Tuesday’s primaries as Trump’s endorsement is put to the test

Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries: Massie’s loss leaves no doubt about Trump’s power over the GOP

Takeaways from Tuesday's primaries: Massie's loss leaves no doubt about Trump's power over the GOP

Who has Trump endorsed in Tennessee? President's pick wins KY primary

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Alabama's primaries

What to expect in Alabama's primaries

Massie positions himself for potential political future after primary defeat: 'I won't be going away silently'

Endorsements

Fundraising

Related races

TN-05 Democratic nominee?

TN-04 Democratic nominee?

Tennessee Senate winner?

TN-09 Democratic nominee?