Who will win the 2026 Texas District 30 US House Republican Primary?

May 27, 2026, 6:59am GMT+3, in 8 daysLast updated: May 19, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC

TX-30 Republican nominee?

$8.9K

MAY 27, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$8.9K

24h volume

$10

E. Jackson92%

S. Daniels8%

G. Heise0%

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source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

May

TUE 26

Texas 2026 primary runoff, if required

November

TUE 3

Texas 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Everett Jackson

6%24H93%

Jackson’s Republican nomination market moved sharply higher over the last hour and is now near-lock territory, which traders may read as the market pricing in a much stronger runoff position ahead of May 26.

News

AINews Summary

The Republican nomination in TX-30 is still headed to a runoff between Everett Jackson and Sholdon Daniels. On the Democratic side, Frederick Haynes III won the primary and remains the general-election favorite. Jasmine Crockett has exited the Senate race and backed the Democratic ticket. The Republican nomination is still unsettled, so the market likely remains focused on the runoff. Haynes’s primary win keeps Democrats favored in the district, while the GOP side stays uncertain until the runoff is decided.

Articles

FNFox News2 months ago

Jasmine Crockett's radical pastor is likely successor to her Dallas-area House district

With Texas’ 30th District safely Democratic, Frederick Haynes III is poised for Congress after winning the primary to replace Crockett, who lost her Senate primary bid.

F4FOX 4 News3 months ago

Texas primary races to watch Tuesday night

Primary election day in Texas is Tuesday with voters headed to the polls to determine the Democratic and Republican candidates for the November general election.